Addendum: According to the current map, McCain needs to run the board on every single tossup state, pick up both PA and OH, and then get one more electoral vote somewhere.
Here's the way I see it. Right now, they have Obama with 311 EV, McCain with 132 EV and 95 EV as tossups.
These "tossup" states should be leaning McCain. Forget the Pravda polls. These are states that went for Bush in 2004. Obama is clearly getting less Dem support than Kerry. No way he wins these states: NC, GA, FL, MO, IN, AZ, MT and ND. Add 95 EV to McCain's total.
They have these states as solid Obama when they should be tossups: NH, IA, MN and WI. Deduct 31 from Obama's total. Why? Obama had to go back to IA to campaign this weekend, so it's clearly in play. MN and WI were fairly close in 2004 and should be closer this year. NH is a McCain stronghold.
They have these states as leaning Obama when they are clearly in play and should be classified as tossups: PA, OH, VA, NM, CO and NV. Deduct another 73 from Obama's total.
New totals: Obama 207 EV, McCain 227 EV and 104 tossup EV. Looks like a race, right?
Why would the Pravda media present the electoral map this way? Because liberals always seem to make decisions based on wishful thinking and not hard data and sound logic.