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To: tatown

he’s now in front for the first time with suburbanites
____________________

I don’t think so!


2 posted on 10/31/2008 11:53:41 AM PDT by conservativepoet (The chief aim of order within Christianity is to make room for good things to romp and play.)
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To: conservativepoet

Folks, it's all about turnout.

The party internals of this poll are similar to others: McCain +83 with GOP, Obama +80 with Dems, Indies are very close, 5% - 10% undecided.

My best guess is this poll oversamples Dem vs. Rep by 2 to 3 points. Equal weighting = dead heat.

Undecideds and Indies will break for McCain. If GOP vs Dem turnout is at least about equal to slightly lower (within a couple of points), McCain probably wins. If Dem turnout surges to an all-time high and GOP turnout is low, the Dems win.

In other words, the only poll that counts is on November 4.

76 posted on 10/31/2008 12:35:13 PM PDT by bailmeout ("During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act" - G Orwell)
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