To: Alvin Poon
Hmmm... possible "concern troll" here.
Nevertheless... there are a couple of things to consider:
- The final polls on Monday will likely show a tighter race. The pollsters will want to be within the margin of error for their credibility. Nevertheless, they still will, as they always do, overestimate Democrat support (but trying to keep it within MOE, at least).
- Turnout models -- the "horserace" numbers are hogwash because they're making unsupported assumptions as to party ID on turnout. There is no historical or current basis to be sampling Democrats in the +6 to +15 range that these polls are using.
6 posted on
10/31/2008 7:27:20 AM PDT by
kevkrom
(If Obama promises to tax your neighbor to give to you, what's he promising your neighbor?)
To: kevkrom
Hmmm... possible "concern troll" here. Make that "probable concern troll here"...
14 posted on
10/31/2008 7:29:51 AM PDT by
greyfoxx39
(I'm Joe the Plumber! I can flush the system of the Obama crap!)
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