Mods - Posting this in "Breaking News" for morale purposes. Remove as you see fit
being positive and upbeat is one thing but let’s keep it steeped in reality! Come on - NJ??
Let’s keep our credibility intact here at FR.
I don’t know how to look at these......probably with a grain of salt.
BUT.......when you consider the amount of rep absentee ballots are very high and leading in some states (only down 1000 in CA), the exit polling in Isreal, the jittery dems and the MSM, I have a sneaking suspicion that it on-the-ground polls in states are rather different that what are are being told by the MSM.
McCain’s saving the best of the campaign until near the end. Soon the GOP will release the BIG GUNS to tour the country and make speeches on how the GOP’s policies can improve our nation’s economy. Look for Romney, Arnold, Rudy, Newt, Fred Thompson and the BIG GUNS to be touring the nation making speeches in key states.
If this country was what it was 20 years ago that is exactly what the results would be. If McCain was not only to win, but to win in a landslide of Reaganesque proportions the Liberal Media and polling outfits would be thoroughly discredited.
Obama's "victory" party would rather interesting as well. I don't think his supporters would take such a loss well. In the aftermath of it they might have to rewrite that old 1970's song, "The Night Chicago Died"...
Quinn also encouraged people to stock up on water and food for Y2K.
There is no way Pennsylvania has swung that much. No way.
Sorry, but that is as unbelievable as O up 13.
Bump!
Could we remove this from Breaking News? It is only the word of an anonymous caller!
I don’t care if it’s true or not, it gives me a Matthews tingle.
If he is from Ohio and he has access to campaign internals, why wouldn’t he give us the internals from Ohio?
I’m all for morale boosters, but we need to stay [at least a little] grounded in reality.
I’m boosting my morale by not watching ANY TV news.
He basically said that the reason major polls are varying by as much as 10% is that pollsters simply do not have a accurate model to predict turnout in this election. The polls are based on their best guess of who will turn out and in what numbers, but early voting seems to be way off from what they are predicting.
For instance, the models were predicting huge turnout among the youth and black voters. While the black turnout seem to be about as projected, they youth vote doesn't appear significantly higher than it was in 2004 and does not seem to be as pro-Obama as they conventional wisdom suggest.
Also, the democrat Tsunami that the media and pollsters has been predicting has not been appearing in early voting. Although early voting IS up over 2004, it's up across the board, not just among democrats, with the democrat/republican/independent ratio staying about the same. Pollsters have factored in this "Tsunami" when doing their polling, which is why they typically over-poll democrats by a 10 point margin.
If the models are off as much as Morris was suggesting, this race COULD very well be a landslide fore McCain/
Did “Carl from Ohio” mention he saw a cow jump over the moon last night and land in Roswell, NM too? Seriously if those are real GOP internal numbers then the GOP needs a new pollster that isn’t on crack. I’d love to believe the numbers but I stop believing the tooth fairly existed when I was 7 or so.
.
That is not to say McCain won’t pull this out, but a landslide is improbable.
PA M - 55, O - 33, U - 10
*******
Total BS.
M-C will be dang lucky to win PA by even a point.
I’m going with it. No further doubt in my mind.
Ain’t gonna happen. If McCain wins, it is going to be by the skin of his teeth. He ain’t gonna win in no Reagan landslide. I would love that in that it would show that Obama and the polls were all full of s**t.
Last night I saw a post on FR (can’t remember where) that said the pollsters were running into a huge number of folks who refused to be polled — the number of 80% was mentioned.
If this is the case, can you imagine an Obama supporter being part of that 80%?
FWIW
The People’s Republik of Kalifornia and the Kleptocracy of New Jersey breaking for McCain/Palin?
Inconceivable!