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To: ScaniaBoy
What about France? I suspect the Germans wouldn't be very happy in the end when the internal EU demand for German products fell precipitously as the new D-mark skyrocketed against the new currencies.

They would wind up eating the debt anyway as their customers went under.

18 posted on 10/31/2008 9:33:21 AM PDT by pierrem15 (Charles Martel: past and future of France)
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To: pierrem15
France and Germany or rather French and German politics and public sentiments are real anomalies. One would think that Germany, since it is a leading export nation would like its currency to remain relatively weak. But, no the Germans won't have any of that. The memories of the inflations (note plural) that wiped away lifetime savings remains with both the Germans who lived through those periods (the 1920’s super-inflation, and the Lucky Strike inflation post-WW II) and their descendants. That's why Germany always have argued for rules that would keep the Euro a hard currency.

France has never been able to compete on German terms; another export nation, but it has retained a large or at least very influential agricultural sector. However, based almost purely on political motives the French have tried to first create a hard Franc, and then the lure the Germans into the Euro. That was part of the deal made between Kohl and Mitterrand for the German unification.

The French have gone along with the Germans building a pan-European (or rather a pan-EU) Bundesbank, free from political influence. However, at the same time France's long term plan has been to eventually take over the bank and make it run by the politicians. France has always known how to bend political agreements to its will. (Sarkozy has been surprisingly open ever since his election that this is one of his primary political goals.)

So, if the present political turmoil really turns into a big currency crisis in the eurozone, the French certainly are going to do their utmost to create a political solution that would keep the defaulting countries within the Euro. The German government may go along to a certain degree, but since it will be the Germans who will have to foot the bill, the € 1 000 000 question is for how long will the Germans act contrary to their own interests?

19 posted on 10/31/2008 10:25:16 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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