Real Clear POlitics Electoral College [Pennsylvannia has slipped from solid to leaning]

Real Clear Politics ^ | October 30, 2008 | RCP

[lonestar67]

10/30 Pennsylvania Solid Obama »»» Leaning Obama Obama 311 - McCain 142 Obama +5.9

[lonestar67]

I think this is the first time Penn has slipped from a solid Obama state in RCP polling.

[goldstategop]

Bad news for Obama. If PA is now in play, he's in huge trouble. Tell that to CBS and their 11 point out of the ass lead for the One. LOL!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[RockinRight]

Obama is NOT getting 311 EV’s.

[stevecmd]

C’mon !! Keep sliding. I wanna see more red on that Electoral Map!!

[lonestar67]

I think this is the beginning of National to state pollng trickle down. I think tomorrow and Saturday we will see states moving toward McCain.

[Harry Wurzbach]

RCP is a joke.

Ok, it’s a nice little site with a ton of info, but these poll averages, especially averages of skewed crap polls, are worthless.

[ladyvet]

Do not falter! Stay the course!

[mwl8787]

good news bump

[bigbob]

So if the polls says it’s Leaning, in fact Mac is probably up a point or two.

[lonestar67]

I agree about RCP.

I am more interested in the underlying trends.

No one should look at RCP as a definitive statement of the overall electoral condition.

Its just that this web barometer is for the first time putting Penn in a weak position for Obama. That is the significant item.

[goldstategop]

Agreed. All the polls are just kitty litter deposits. Worthless.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[austinaero]

“Bad news for Obama. If PA is now in play, he’s in huge trouble.”

Bad news for Pig Murtha too.

PA may turn out to be a WIN-WIN!

[TXBlair]

Tell that to CBS and their 11 point out of the ass lead for the One.

Maybe I'm just tired or easily amused, but that comment is cracking me up.

[GiveEmDubya]

I’ll be more interested to see the results of the poll tabulated on Tuesday. That one has a MOE of 0% and probably won’t have a massive Democrat oversample.

[Parley Baer]

RCP averages all the polls. Including the outlandish polls by such organizations as CBS and CNN. So it must be real close now if you throw out the screwball polls.

[fortunate sun]

I would agree with it’s important as a trend, rather than an actual victory. It increases the likelihood of Virginia and Colorado remaining with McCain and a possibility of NH in his column.

[RocketMan1]

I think this is the beginning of National to state pollng trickle down. I think tomorrow and Saturday we will see states moving toward McCain.

Yay-up.

Bammie's about to snatch defeat from the jaws of [alleged] victory!

[cincinnati65]

C’mon !! Keep sliding. I wanna see more red on that Electoral Map!!

You will! In just 5 days!!!!!

[goldstategop]

I know for a fact, which the stupid brain dead s---t Katie Couric doesn't, that there won't be an 11 point Democratic voter turnout next week. Why? It didn't happen even in 2006, the Dems best year and they were up by 4+.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[lonestar67]

NH is another interesting item there.

NH keeps fliping solid/ leaning almost every hour. There is definite traction there for McCain to win on Tuesday night.

That would be a nice bonus to drive into the Western states Tuesday night. The PUMA potential in NH is exceptional.