if they are splitting aren’t they going to both?
Yeah, they’re going for both. The point is PUMAs and other Democrat crossovers are a much more significant factor than Obamicans both in intensity of feeling and numbers.
The former translates into help in our GOTV efforts. The latter suggests that Obama trailing Kerry’s position in the early voting using the usual estimate based on 100% party loyalty may underestimate the degree to which McCain is out-performing Bush.