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If These Numbers Are Right, You Can Almost Call Nevada For McCain Now
NRO ^ | October 30, 2008 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 10/30/2008 12:52:25 PM PDT by RobinMasters

Campaign Spot reader Laurence notes an interesting wrinkle in the post below about Nevada. The guy doing the exit poll of those who have already voted, with 7,147 responses, puts Obama ahead, 50 percent to 48 percent.

If Republicans were a lot more of the early voters, McCain would be nervous. If Democrats were a lot more of the early voters, Obama should be nervous. And if they were split even, a 50-48 Obama lead is in the neighborhood of what we would expect.

In Clark County, "through Sunday, 55 percent of early voters were Democrats, 29 percent Republicans."

"In Washoe County, 51 percent of the early voters through Sunday were Democrats, while 33 percent were Republicans."

(Excerpt) Read more at campaignspot.nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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To: marron

“Is Reid up for reelection?”

We’re going to “Daschle” Harry in ‘10! ;0)


21 posted on 10/30/2008 2:39:06 PM PDT by incredulous joe ("Experience is something you don't get until just after you need it.")
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To: Devils Avocado

Yeah but the party turnout in the urban areas is exceeding breakdown on party lines. Obama should have a big lead.


22 posted on 10/30/2008 4:18:39 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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