Posted on 10/29/2008 3:56:18 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound
These are folks who, four years ago, voted mostly Republican. They are undecided now because they are upset with Bush and upset with the economy. But they are not yet on board when it comes to voting for Obama, either because of his party I.D., or his race, but mostly because of the fact that he's a Democrat.
The question all of us in the analyst community are trying to figure out is, will these undecided Republican-leaning voters show up and vote McCain? Or will they stay home?
If they show up and vote, then Obama's margins will shrink dramatically because McCain — as I've argued before — will garner some 70+ percent of the undecided vote.
What does this mean for the map? It puts a lot of states into too close to call territory, including North Carolina, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, Missouri and Nevada.
The problem McCain has is that a movement of undecided voters toward him might not be enough to stop Obama in Colorado, Virginia and Pennsylvania. And it is in those three states in particular that McCain has to make serious progress in order to turn his goal of reaching 260 electoral votes (not out of the question) into a goal of actually reaching 270.
Clearly, the McCain campaign is counting on something happening in Virginia or Pennsylvania, as a lot of new money and candidate time is being poured into both states.
(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...
liberal gay community
Me too. Can’t stand that little twerp Shep anymore, Brit Hume and his group is worse than a funeral, O’Reilly and me got a love/hate thing right now and right now I’m in between. Love Sean, but it’s too too much with Alan. Soooo, that leave BOR some and Greta and oh yeah, Cavuto. The rest are history for me, they just don’t connect with me anymore. I feel like I know more than they do and there is never any new information there. Freerepublic rocks, by the time I watch them, I already know everything they “report”. Their opinions are well, nothing I want to hear.
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