Posted on 10/28/2008 7:03:33 PM PDT by BillyM
On the first day of early voting, 62 percent of Clark County voters were Democrats, while 23 percent were Republicans and the rest nonpartisans or members of minor parties. Through Sunday, 55 percent of early voters were Democrats, 29 percent Republicans.
Ok, now pay close attention, the early voting gives Democrats a 26 point edge in in votes cast.
Exit polling of early voters conducted by a local political consultant suggests a close presidential contest in the Silver State: Democratic nominee Barack Obama had the votes of 50 percent who had voted, while Republican nominee John McCain had 48 percent of the early vote.
Whoa! That is a heck of a lot of PUMAs.
(Excerpt) Read more at hillaryclintonforum.net ...
Remember Tennesee for Gore? He was embarrased to lose his home state, but his gun control flip suprised everybody at the polls.
Well there is plenty of Tax waffle by O and his terrorist links are still coming out; the ONLY thing they are hitting a nerve on is McCain is ‘like’ Bush chant.
I say ‘Re distribute the wealth’ hits nationwide like the gun flip did in Tennesee.
Joe the Plumber may have made ALL the difference....
The coolest part is, those DEMS have already voted for McCain and so there will be no last-minutes switches. Obama-thugs won’t be able to coerce them into voting for “The One.”
What is the significance of Nevada in regards to the election?
Huge. According to most polls, Nevada is in play and is a “must win” for McCain.
****Plus, it’s Harry Reid’s state.
Am I right? This is LAS VEGAS? WOW!
I heard the same thing in NM. A lot of this PUMA and moderate Dem stuff not voting for Obama is almost secret. I think many Dems want him to lose and go away.
The obvious answer is that it ain't as much in the bag as they're shouting.
But the best advice here is yours: ignore all of the news (good, bad, and otherwise) and just get out and vote!!!
That's pretty much a given. If Big-O's people are counting on the Hispanics as a bloc vote then they've made a fatal error.
Double down on McCain-Palin!!!
Give them time. There are always a few bad apples. But they sneak in to grab the American Dream not poverty. These folks are our friends and we need to understand the dynamics. Remember Hester Street.
Thank you, and welcome to Free Republic.
We will take Nevada.
Nevada is actually really split. The north and rural areas are very conservative, but Las Vegas is heavily democratic. That is why the hotel unions are all in Las Vegas and not in Reno or rural Nevada. It takes a serious get-out-the-vote effort in Northern and rural Nevada to overcome the democrat leaning Vegas area. I haven’t seen the type of GOTV effort here as I have seen in the last two election cycles. Remember, Clinton won Nevada twice, due to the influence of Vegas. Bush and Dole won all other Nevada counties, but the vote in those counties was not enough to counter to Vegas vote. In the past few years, the newer and growing parts of Las Vegas have actually turned more conservative, so there is hope there as well.
Drudge posted an article from the Las Vegas Review Journal that supported the fact that the models predicting new and younger voters are all wrong. In Nevada, at least, the those who haven’t voted in the last 3 elections and the younger voters haven’t turned out in the percentages hoped. See Drudge for the article.
Clark is heavily democrat, but Washoe County (Reno) also has had a larger Democrat turnout as well during the early voting. Washoe County is traditionally more republican, but in the last few years, parts of Reno have been trending more Democrat. Democrat registration in Washoe County is higher than Republican this year.
Nevada’s significance to the election cannot be understated: in the last two presidential elections, Bush wouldn’t have won if Nevada’s electoral votes went to his opponents. Nevada is a true swing state with fairly equal numbers of Republicans and Democrats. If the election is close, Nevada’s 5 electoral votes will determine the winner. I am surprised that McCain hasn’t spent more time here. Nevada was central to Bush’s winning strategy and he spent a lot of time here.
The fact that Washoe County has more registered dems than Republicans points to two things. First of all many Republicans disenchanted with the state of the party and leaving it have cut into the margin. Secondly the dem voter registation efforts have been far more aggressive than our own which is predictable. I get around Reno alot given my line of work and based on signage I would say that the level of support for the O’bama is somewhat less than it was for the French candidate four year ago.
Anecdotally, I live in Spanish Springs, solidly Republican district but 4 years ago the Bush-Cheney signs outnumbered the Kerry signs in my area by about 5-3. This year I make the same drive and McCain-Palin signs outnumber O’bama signs by 12-1. I think the messiah’s support may be broad right now, but it isn’t deep, especially in Nevada.
Final thought, Jill Derby has been challenging Dean Heller for NV CD-2 in a race heavily financed by the DNC. Last poll had her 7% behind. I think that if and thats a big IF that lead is close to being realistic, then McCain will win Northern and rural Nevada by a wider margin than Bush. Hopefully it will be enough to offset the voter fraud in Vegas.
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