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To: Bushite

Another, less favorable way to look at your data:

County: 2008 poll, 2004 result

Bucks: Obama+6, Kerry+3
Allegheny: O+10, K+15
Erie: O+7, K+9
York: M+12, B+28
Montgomery: O+12, K+11


88 posted on 10/28/2008 10:47:30 AM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: Petronski

Which was exactly what I saw.


95 posted on 10/28/2008 11:01:35 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Petronski

see post 91. You need to look at the absolute numbers - not jsut the percentages.


98 posted on 10/28/2008 11:08:43 AM PDT by ex-Libertarian
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To: Petronski

m+18 not m+12.

We have to look at what these counties are, too.

I would be worried if Obama was way up over McCain in Monty and Bucks. We can figure that Chester and Delaware are in the same basic range - a slight Obama gain or holding steady.

Our gain in Allegheny is likely met or exceeded in
beaver washington fayette.

We’re going to be getting substantial gains out of those counties.

I’d expect gains out of S/W-B but we have no data for that.

Also, gut feeling tells me that there’s gonna be strong turnout and stronger than usual margins in the less populous counties. I don’t think they’re going to be doing a specific poll for Fulton county (let’s say) which Bush won with 76%.


100 posted on 10/28/2008 11:22:57 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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