There’s room here. But it’s a tight, tight window.
ping
Three points:
1. The poll was taken 10/23-25 in the aftermath of the huge market drops last week Thursday.
2. McCain is running 5% ahead (there’s that number again) of the Kerry margin of victory in Allegheny county which is the largest of the the group.
3. Whatever Bradley effect there is is most likely to be strongest in PA with all the Racist and Redneck criticism.
This state is close, no doubt, but if that 5% outperform holds up, McCain has a great shot at it.
No, it’s not a tight window. The numbers are worse for Obama than for McCain. Mac has an excellent chance.