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I got some Micro Polling from Pennsylvania.....

Posted on 10/28/2008 9:44:32 AM PDT by Bushite

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To: PhiKapMom
What we're seen is Obama is going to underperform, not just in PA but across the nation. You'll remember the primaries, he struggled to get across the finish line in contests with Hillary even with the entire MSM in the tank for him. What he can't do is better his poll numbers in a year when he has all the advantages. Again, why not?

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

61 posted on 10/28/2008 10:14:31 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: mrs9x
Most of the old folks up there are registered Democrat, but vote Republican on the national stage.

For those that usually vote Republican nationally, how do we gain if we get them again?

For those that were so stupid or so perverted that they voted for Kerry, why would Obama be a bridge too far?

62 posted on 10/28/2008 10:15:11 AM PDT by prolifefirst
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To: Bushite

BO is campaigning in the rain in PA. That’s all I know and all I need to know=BO is running scared!


63 posted on 10/28/2008 10:15:15 AM PDT by lonestar
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To: jveritas; Bushite

Oh yea, I better ask that same question.
Where did you get these numbers?


64 posted on 10/28/2008 10:15:34 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Bushite

Did I mention you as a troll?


65 posted on 10/28/2008 10:15:48 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Reagan69
What county is Phil in?

Philadelphia County. Its own county. Surrounded by Bucks, Delaware and Montgomery.

66 posted on 10/28/2008 10:15:53 AM PDT by LikeLight (http://www.believersguidetolegalissues.com)
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To: LS

No look at it again. Obama is polling worse than Kerry in all counties listed.

My guess is a lot of people are lying too.


67 posted on 10/28/2008 10:16:13 AM PDT by Frantzie
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To: Reagan69

Reagan69: YOU are absolutely right. This is great news.

The spread in these mostly blue counties is about 3% on average.

But even more important is the fact that 7-8% of the voters are undecided. If 2/3 break our way, we can definitely steal.....er...um win PA.


68 posted on 10/28/2008 10:17:25 AM PDT by LeoOshkosh (Crazy Leo is right again)
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To: ccmay

Obama is making up for his losses in Blue counties by picking up support in Red counties.

These are upper middle class white voters who have taken losses in their homes and 401k’s and are blindly supporting the commie.


69 posted on 10/28/2008 10:17:35 AM PDT by Retired Greyhound
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To: Bushite

Living in Erie, I don’t buy that poll. I think McCain will take Erie county and I daresay he may even take Allegheny county.


70 posted on 10/28/2008 10:19:54 AM PDT by killer_rat
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To: Bushite
I am hardly a troll...check out my history.

Some Freepers think that anybody that anybody with a fresh idea must be a troll. A little insecure.

71 posted on 10/28/2008 10:20:12 AM PDT by prolifefirst
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To: mrs9x
Yes, bitter clingers. Casey democrats. Coal country. Blue collar.

The York figures are a little troubling, not surprising really though.

Here's some data from the 2004 general.
Alleghe 57.2% 368,912 42.1% 271,925 0.7% 4,632
Bucks 51.1% 163,438 48.3% 154,469 0.6% 1,909
Erie 53.9% 67,921 45.6% 57,372 0.5% 605
Montgo 55.6% 222,048 44.0% 175,741 0.5% 1,802
York 35.5% 63,701 63.7% 114,270 0.7% 1,298

The raw vote totals help in figuring out the importance of each of the counties
72 posted on 10/28/2008 10:20:18 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: Bushite
York county is the most troubling, but the best news is McCain is 5 points closer than Bush got in vote-rich Allegheny County.

If undecideds continue to break for McCain, he could pull it off yet.

73 posted on 10/28/2008 10:21:13 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: truthfreedom
South Central (York, as well as Lancaster, Cumberland, Dauphin) might be a problem.

I doubt it. I've never seen as many signs for anything ever as for McCain/Palin. And it's Sarah driving that. Intense passion for Sarah in these counties. She's practically living here. My wife is at Sarah's rally in Shippensburg (Cumberland County) this afternoon.

74 posted on 10/28/2008 10:22:05 AM PDT by LikeLight (http://www.believersguidetolegalissues.com)
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To: prolifefirst

Dem Party becomes the Obama ACORN Dem Party.

Let me try it a less politically correct way. White Democrats have seen the left and AA with the help of ACORN hijack your party. They have to options.

1. Embrace the new Obama ACORN Dem Party. If you are a white union member then an ACORN member might just take your job a month after Obama is sworn in.

2. In the silence and secrecy of a voting booth you make this Obama ACORN nightmare go away by voting McCain.

The question is will union members and white blue dog moderate Dems be smart enough to pick the easy and painless option? I think many will figure it out.


75 posted on 10/28/2008 10:22:05 AM PDT by Frantzie
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To: Retired Greyhound
Obama is making up for his losses in Blue counties by picking up support in Red counties. These are upper middle class white voters who have taken losses in their homes and 401k’s and are blindly supporting the commie.

Michael Barone agrees and thinks Obama will take PA, but I bet you already knew that.

76 posted on 10/28/2008 10:22:16 AM PDT by prolifefirst
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To: RIRed

Well, he is seeing something there, he is spending a lot of time in PA this week.


77 posted on 10/28/2008 10:22:42 AM PDT by flyfree
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To: snarkytart

I answered on page 1.

I have no interest in outing anybody and getting them fired.

These polls cost MONEY. just be happy that you have them in an anonymous fashion.


78 posted on 10/28/2008 10:23:17 AM PDT by Bushite
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To: flyfree

From your keyboard to God’s ears!


79 posted on 10/28/2008 10:24:38 AM PDT by RIRed
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To: Frantzie
If you are a white union member then an ACORN member might just take your job a month after Obama is sworn in.

Obama is the obvious choice if your only concern is union strength. I challenge you to find any statement or article saying otherwise.

80 posted on 10/28/2008 10:25:31 AM PDT by prolifefirst
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