Posted on 10/28/2008 9:44:32 AM PDT by Bushite
These were conducted Oct. 23,24,25
Bucks County: O: 49 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 51 B: 48
Allegheny: O: 52 M: 42 2004 Results: K: 57 B: 42
Erie: O: 50 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 54 B: 45
York: M: 57 O: 39 2004 Results: B: 63 K: 35
Montgomery: O: 51 M: 39 2004 Results: K: 55 B: 44
well..i seem to have attracted a non-creative troll.
damn. I couldn’t get a Daily Kos type? Or an angry DUer?
man, i would have settled for a Huff and Puff moron.
Instead..I got you.
Rational analysis, common sense, and in depth knowledge of polling techniques leaves me calling BS 12 times a day.
It is rare to find an evenly weighted or historically accurate sampling size of likely voters without biased questions. Only one poll matters and they are conducting it a week from today.
Godspeed and chins up.
We are in the middle of a new war and GWB was without question a hard line CinC (to the public) - We have since in the majority of the public mind won in Iraq and Stan is off the radar.....(thus giving Obama an out for his inexperience and naivety as possible CinC)...
I don't see McCain outperforming GWB all that much....I could see Obama under-performing as a way for a McCain victory in PA....
Do you REALLY believe Mccain will win Pennsylvania?
That tells you all you need to know about polls and what they do...
Give this man a prize. This is why McCain keeps spending so much time in PA. It was very close in both 2000 and 2004, and now we have these polls of Kerry friendly counties showing that Obama is essentially running behind Kerry in most of them one week away from the election. With Obama already having a very recent history of performing very poorly in PA. Do we have the numbers for how he did against Hillary in these same counties a few months ago?
If McCain wins PA, he is 99% certain of winning the election. He seems to be very close to winning PA. At a bare minimum, he is putting Obama on defense rather than offense. It's like a football game late in the fourth quarter with 30 seconds left, McCain is down by three points, he has one timeout left, he has driven over 80 yards down the field in the last two minutes, and it's first and goal on the seven yeard line. With the Super Bowl trophy at stake.
I live in Delaware County and we were polled by the Republican party last night. I told them they could count on the entire family. There are a lot of McCain signs around - although a couple of minority areas will go all to Obama.
Good question, but I think it’s because democrat woman vote more on emotion. They are hurt by how Obama treated them and won’t vote for him because their heart isn’t in it. But McCain is really almost one of them, so they are more comfortable with him—plus he has made them feel happy in teh past.
Agreed.
Frankly, I don’t know how people say we could win PA with that result.
But, it could be wrong. Who knows.
It is possible. Anything is possible.
I’m working to get McCain-Palin elected.
Where do you stand?
with every vote in my household for Sarah Palin.
we are just draggin mac along for the ride.
Campaigns don’t make results public unless they just show a blow-up result compared to what the media polls show.....say their polling show a big win for McCain or something.
They are too sensitive with tactical information.
What? Have you not been paying attention.?
Yes, I believe, I have never doubted that McCain will carry PA. The dems lost PA the minute they chose this guy as their candidate. Those that buy into PA being this bastion of liberalism are frankly ignorant.
PA is a mid atlantic RUST BELT state, its not a new england liberal state, never has been, never will be. Fauxbama had zero chance of taking this state, he has without a doubt the weakest support on the ground of any democratic candidate for president since Dukakis. He is not going to win PA.
Stop buying into propoganda polling, anyone who’s claiming to you that EITHER of these guys is going to win this state by 10+ points is selling you steaming piles of cow dung. Not possible, not credible, and not to be believed.
McCain’s taking PA, not only is he taking PA, I still believe he’s taking at least 1 more rust belt state with it.
This thing isn’t remotely going to be the Fauxbama routing the MSM is trying to sell, the math isn’t there, and never was. Lots of Goebbelesque propoganda designed to depress the republican base, that’s it. Don’t buy it, its not remotely true.
I expect the volunteer effort to help too.
Please, everyone, volunteer as much as you can.
Check the website for opportunities.
“Can someone explain to me why Hillary supporters will supposedly let their resentment move them across party lines while our McCain resentment doesn’t do the same to us?”
1. Well, our problem with McCain is he is too liberal. This would make us stay home, worst case.
2. Dhims have the problem, in reverse -— Obama is radically leftist.
3. In contrast, Hillary was (in comparison to Obama) a moderate, distinct from McCain on issues about abortion and a a few others.
4. So while we on the Right might stay home, Hillary supporters (who are to the right of Obamunistas) are more likely to drift across the isle.
I dont buy it. I live in one of those counties and those polls are contradictory to what I see and hear.
McCain does have a history of making bold moves, and PA seems like a real gamble when you consider that he could put more time into battleground states that Bush carried in 2004. If McCain just holds VA, CO, and NV (I know that’s a big if), then he won’t need PA. Of course that’s assuming he keeps FL and OH, which I think he will. So I’m wondering if PA is kind of a Hail Mary pass (the McCain=gambler theory), or maybe McCain really does have internals that show he has a good chance there.
Not looking all that great.
What the hell is wrong with PA anyway?
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