I’ve noticed the last few days some pollsters are having a “lets tighten them up so we don’t look stupid” phase, they know they have been shilling for bambi, now they have to watch because when McCain wins and they have been way off, i mean look at 2004 for goodness sake, they were calling him President from a week before, even on election day by midday they were saying Kerry as Mr President Elect.
Boy did i laugh that night.
I did some polling years ago when I was in school. I recall that certain demographic groups — particularly women— were fairly easy to complete interviews with. Others were not, particularly certain groups of men.
Although polls typically state that their poll is based on 1000 interviews (or whatever the number is), I have yet to see a poll report how many calls it had to initiate to complete 1000 interviews. It seems that these numbers could be important. Are certain groups rebuffing interviews more so than in past elections? If so, isn’t that important and doesn’t it suggest that the polling of that demographic group (that was especially hard to get a hold of) might be more flawed?
bmflr