I'm stunned Barone keeps going back to polls that have shown themselves to be far removed from historical precedent. I don't get it. This guy knows more about districts' and precincts' voting histories all across this nation, yet he's apparently ignoring previous outcomes in favor of the "surging Dem turnout." We'll see if he's right or if he's eating a healthy portion of crow for Thanksgiving.
Oh, who am I kidding? If McCain/Palin do win (as I expect they will) the media, and probably most FReepers, will be talking about what an amazing comeback it was. The garbage polls probably won't even be thought of again, until probably the 2010 elections by us.
You are right about those House races in PA and other places. Unfortunately, it looks like the Alaska Senate seat is now gone. Of all aspects of this election, I worry about the Senate races the most (for the obvious reasons).
On the polls, if McCain/Palin wins (as I also expect), I will not regard it as a comeback either. I will regard it as a center-right electorate (on the order of 50-48 or thereabouts) doing what a center-right electorate would predictably do when given the choice of these two candidates. Elect one of them by about a 51-48 margin or thereabouts. :) The samples used in the many polls that had Obama ahead simply were not representative of actual voters.