“In the primaries, Obama never received a higher number than he polled and usually got 1 - 2% less than he polled.”
That would seem to be a major factor when deciding how this election is going to play out, yet other than the Rove comment I can’t remember anyone pointing that out.
That would seem to be a major factor when deciding how this election is going to play out, yet other than the Rove comment I can’t remember anyone pointing that out.
Because it's wrong. Obama received a higher actual result than he polled in about half the contests. In Indiana, for instance, he came in better than the average of the polls predicted. Same with Maryland and Virginia, and lots of other states.