Posted on 10/27/2008 6:53:45 AM PDT by The G Man
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
for the second time in a row!
excellent numbers
Obama under 50 is a winner for us.
If conventional wisdom about weekend polls is right, with Rasmussen, Zogby and Battleground showing tighening, things are getting real interesting!!
Dear lord ....please elect John McCain our next president so our Country doesn't go to hell in "That one's" handout basket for the next two years.
McCain/Palin wins 54-46. Bank on it.
Ask yourself how many people you know, who are moderate Dems voting for McCain/Palin. I know at least 5. Now extrapolate across FR. Now extrapolate across the country. Toss in the fact that B. Hussein is getting 80% of his base, while Gore got 92%, and Kerry got 89% and both lost. Obama cannot win.
my math stat friend at church gave me a long talk yesterday about polls....it was fascinating.
he said a few key things:
He mentioned a “tail” in Obamas poll numbers that could be troubling for Obama. He referred me to a real clear politics article that i will try and find.
He said that its important for McCain to get above 46% in some polling this week.
He said that when we see Obama under 50 at all its a troubling sign for him.
He said that those two benchmarks are more important than looking at who is in the “lead” in a national poll.
Within MOE, and within even the low 3% estimate the Obamaites seem to hold for the Bradley effect. I wonder how it translates state-by-state.
My theory has been that the McCain internals were “leading” what we see in public polls, both at that national and state levels, for weeks. Based on that, I think McCain is ahead in MO, NV, and CO; virtually safe in GA, NC, OH; tied in VA; and barely down in NH and IA; and still within reach of PA.
I wish the election would hurry up and get here. I need to know one way or the other. I never thought that I would be rooting for the liberal candidate over a full fledge communist for American president.
McCain, dumba$$, should’ve followed Palin’s advice and fought for Michigan. I hope she continues her “rogue” behavior and drags him over the finish line.
Yep, Palin is going to drag Yosemite Sam across the finish line.
I know, it would almost be better for us to have it this tuesday, oh well, one more week to go.
This race is a dead heat........McCain will win if the polls say he’s statistically tied.
yes its truly insane. I could understand a weighting between 3-5% but 7.2????
and obama only leads by 5? lol
The last datapoint is using 10/20 thru 10/23 plus 10/26 (five days). 10/24 (Friday) and 10/25 (Saturday) are skipped. Were these good or bad days for McCain? Also 10/20 is going back to last Monday. Much has happened in the last 7 days.
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