Rasmussen has been off by a mile this election. I haven’t given any credence to his polls since he flopped so badly in the primaries. Here’s a few examples.
New Hampshire:
Ras: Obama +7.0
Final: Clinton +2.6
California:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +9.6
Texas:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +3.5
Interested. Ras was quite off there. There is hope for us!
The fatal flaw in his weighting strategy is that he has to guess at the correct weights in the first place.
And if the polls were that far off when Obama was going up against another Democrat, then wouldn’t they be even less accurate when he’s going up against a Republican?