Under this model, as it stands today, the electoral numbers would be 296-232 in favor of Obama
Broken down as follows:
Florida- McCain by 1.8
Indiana- M by 3.5
Missouri- M by 3
North Carolina- M by 3
Nevada- M by .7
Colorado- Obama by 2.5
Ohio- O by 2.1
Virginia- O by 3
Pennsylvania- O by 7.2
New Mexico- O by 4.4
Iowa- O by 7.8
Michigan- O by 13
Minnesota- O by 7.3
Wisconsin- O by 6.6
Again though, that is using RCP’s averages and only god knows how accurate some of the polls they are looking at really are
I thank you for your response.