I agree. Except for abandoning PA, the advice seemed spot on to me.
We had another thread in from Hillbuzz in which a statistician for a major polling co. engaged by campaigns estimated O’s chances of carrying PA at only 55%. That seems worth the effort.
That was the blogpost I referred to in the title. I was jazzed about it and then more so when I saw the NYPost article talking about the exact same thing the pollster said re: NH and NM.