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Another take on the polls
Hillbuzz ^ | Hillbuzz

Posted on 10/25/2008 9:12:05 PM PDT by BillyM

After mocking the hell out of the voter id spreads used by Rassmussen, Zogby, etc. (and this is coming from a committed Dem who will be voting for Barry O) she said the results of their polling lead her to believe that McCain will definitely win FL, OH, NC, MO and NV.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; hillbuzz; mccain; obama; swingstates; virginiavirtucon
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1 posted on 10/25/2008 9:12:05 PM PDT by BillyM
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...


2 posted on 10/25/2008 9:14:47 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: BillyM

Very interesting read. . .thanks for posting. I like it.


3 posted on 10/25/2008 9:17:17 PM PDT by conservativepoet (The chief aim of order within Christianity is to make room for good things to romp and play.)
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To: BillyM

And the corrected stats don’t take into account PUMA’s and the bradley effect, which will be huge this election. Bambi is going to be the new rep for the agony of defeat and so will the MSM.


4 posted on 10/25/2008 9:18:52 PM PDT by HerrBlucher
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To: BillyM

Who is the pollster?


5 posted on 10/25/2008 9:20:26 PM PDT by ggekko60506
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To: conservativepoet; BillyM
Very interesting read. . .thanks for posting. I like it.

Me too. I'll like it more if it comes true! :)
6 posted on 10/25/2008 9:20:34 PM PDT by Filo (Darwin was right!)
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To: HerrBlucher

I don’t believe in much of the so-called Bradley effect. I think people are seriously concerned about Obama’s policies and his base ideology.


7 posted on 10/25/2008 9:20:42 PM PDT by SumProVita ("Cogito ergo sum pro vita." .....updated Descartes)
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To: BillyM

Thanks! Good stuff there. I’m hoping we pull out PA too. That’d be a wrap.


8 posted on 10/25/2008 9:20:55 PM PDT by WKL815 (If the phrase "personal responsibility" makes you defensive, you may be a liberal.)
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To: BillyM

And this is wihout any Bradley effect!!


9 posted on 10/25/2008 9:21:31 PM PDT by cookcounty (Sarah and Todd Palin : They're more like us than we are.)
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To: BillyM

Now we can make money from the inaccuracies in the polls.

Intrade has Contracts for Beating the Spread on Polling Numbers
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2115426/posts


10 posted on 10/25/2008 9:22:37 PM PDT by Kevmo (I love that sound and please let that baby keep on crying. ~Sarah Palin)
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To: BillyM

Five of eight that are needed, VA and CO are looming large.


11 posted on 10/25/2008 9:23:51 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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To: BillyM
This doesn't surprise me at all. The polls are being used as psychological warfare by the MSM against Republicans. Psychological warfare is an old tactic that dates back 2500 years to the Peloponnesian War. You can make the result of the poll anything you want just based on party identification, party identification this polling cycle is clearly inaccurate, in my judgement.

The MSM is just trying to surpress the Republican vote.

I voted early for Palin (and McCain) and it felt great!!!



Karl Quote
12 posted on 10/25/2008 9:25:49 PM PDT by JJHLH1
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To: BillyM

Yep, Colorado causes me the most worry. If we lose there, we MUST pick up Pennsylvania.


13 posted on 10/25/2008 9:27:38 PM PDT by babydubya1981 (Homeschooling Moms for McCain/Palin 08)
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To: BillyM

bump on assumtions


14 posted on 10/25/2008 9:31:11 PM PDT by TeleStraightShooter (When BH0 was 8 he attended his mosque in jakarta; Bill Ayers was simultaneously bombing the Pentagon)
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To: BillyM

Looks like I gotta get down to the McCain headquarters in Manchester to do some work!


15 posted on 10/25/2008 9:31:26 PM PDT by Scarchin (nObama - Keep the change!)
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To: BillyM

THANK YOU FOR THIS THREAD!! WOOT!

Chin up, people!! Get out and vote.


16 posted on 10/25/2008 9:39:02 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: padre35

Well, we have to have either IA or NH too, or we can’t win. Just played with the Real Politics Map, see what I mean?


17 posted on 10/25/2008 9:39:09 PM PDT by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: padre35

I think VA is going McCain, it’s all about Colorado.
Some local professor in CO, said that he has studied Colorado politics and elections, and finds that Republicans tend to come out about 4% higher than any poll every shows.
*fingers crossed*

It’s all about the electoral college, and it favors McCain.
He just needs to hold on to red states, CO and VA.
He’ll win.
Obama needs to pick up Iowa, New Mexico and another red state to win.


18 posted on 10/25/2008 9:42:20 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: wequalswinner

NO. All McCain has to do is keep all of Bush’s states from 2004, except Iowa and New Mexico and he wins 274 to 264.
McCain doesn’t need NH, or PA if he does what I just said.


19 posted on 10/25/2008 9:44:01 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Well snarkyt, I’m looking at this election as if it were Election 2000, not 2004, we can win without NM and IA, both Bush 04 losses, “if” McPalin holds unto the mid atlantic and wins NH and CO.

The wild card is PA, McCain really pushed all in on PA.

Frum seems to forget some really simple metrics, Christians make up 130 million people in the US, firearms owners make up 70 million, people who think their taxes are too high already make up 99% of the American taxpaying public.

His middle of the road voter is actually a Center Right voter..


20 posted on 10/25/2008 9:52:25 PM PDT by padre35 (Sarah Palin is the one we've been waiting for..Rom 10.10..)
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