The day that ballooned 0’s lead to 12 points falls off tonight, to be replaced by a +3 sample.
Correct. 10/22 was a killer day, and now it’s gone. But the 10/23 and 10/24 were not so terrific such that, when averaged with 10/25 Obama +3, will result in anything less than Obama +5 (and likely it’s Obama +6 or +7.)
It’s possible to reverse engineer these numbers more precisely, but I can’t do myself, so this is my guess.
We’ll see if I’m right in a few hours.