I’m saying he is polling lower than Kerry or Gore. Given that typically African-Americans do NOT vote in higher % than anyone else-—a little lower, I think, but check me on that-—he should be polling 95% now in order to get an 89% turnout.
Gotcha. I am curious to know the actual African American turnout percentages historically though. African American’s are voting early here in GA in droves. The question I have is, is it the same votes being cast earlier, or is there a real subtantial uptick in AA Turnout percentages.
PS How did it go last night? I know Palin was there.