That's probably correct. I find it hard to believe that the real electorate is swinging as wildly as the poll numbers are.
and that is good for McCain.
We would hope so ... but given the wild swings it's difficult to say that with certainty.
What I will say, though, is that (going from memory here) for the past several elections now, the polls have been significantly slanted toward the Democrats, as compared to the actual election results. If that holds true here, then "close" is indeed bad news for Obama.
There are a few things to consider here. In Coltoure’s article she sited all of these past polls and hos wrong they were, but that 2004 was very accurate. It seems like as the elections go on, the polls get more accurate. And that doesn’t bode well for McCain as 90% of the polls have him down, and some down bad.
Also, no one is talking about his 30 min specials that will be on TV these last 2 weeks. The thing that scares me most, is that every time people here him speak, or there is a debate, or whatever, his number spike. If he does this 3 times until the election, and people follow suit, it could be very bad for McCain.