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Plunging Crude Oil is a geopolitical time bomb
Commodity Online ^ | 10/22/2008 | Justice Litle

Posted on 10/22/2008 8:44:12 AM PDT by markomalley

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1 posted on 10/22/2008 8:44:13 AM PDT by markomalley
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To: markomalley

I bet George Soro’s stuck it to the Oil folks too with his game of minipulation the markets. He is the screwball behind the world crisis we face today.


2 posted on 10/22/2008 8:47:46 AM PDT by ncfool (Obama stands for The New United Socialist State or "TNUSSA")
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To: markomalley

HUH? Doesn’t make sense. Chavez and Russia are at the mercy of US, and OUR ECONOMY, not vice versa. That’s becoming increasingly obvious. Chavez won’t last another two years with prices at this level, let alone lower.


3 posted on 10/22/2008 8:49:44 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: markomalley

HUH? Doesn’t make sense. Chavez and Russia are at the mercy of US, and OUR ECONOMY, not vice versa. That’s becoming increasingly obvious. Chavez won’t last another two years with prices at this level, let alone lower.


4 posted on 10/22/2008 8:49:57 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: markomalley

bfl


5 posted on 10/22/2008 9:01:44 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: LS

I think the author is hinting at a really drastic cut in OPEC oil production although he doesn’t come right out and say so. There’s a silver lining in that dark cloud though. Maybe we’ll wake up and start the process of taking care of our own energy needs.


6 posted on 10/22/2008 9:04:49 AM PDT by saganite (Obama (Senator Government) is a political STD)
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To: saganite
Yeah, think about what this is doing to "I'm-ona-jihad" in Iran. It has utterly destroyed his financing.

How ironic: Bush came into office with al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, Saddam in Iraq, Khaddafi in Libya, the nut in N. Korea, and Iran as the major threats to American security. He deliberately pretty much destroyed #1 and 2, forced #3 into surrendering his WMDs without a fight, and now has through sheer accident of fate neutralized to some degree Iran. Only NK remains.

7 posted on 10/22/2008 9:08:25 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: thackney

Ping.


8 posted on 10/22/2008 9:08:33 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: markomalley

I wonder if our so called leaders will give them a bailout. /sarc


9 posted on 10/22/2008 9:11:15 AM PDT by unixfox (The 13th Amendment Abolished Slavery, The 16th Amendment Reinstated It !)
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To: markomalley

interesting piece - thnx for posting

I knew gas was el cheapo in Venazuela, but didn’t know Chavez was practically giving away so much oil to Latin American countries. LOL, what a putz.


10 posted on 10/22/2008 9:13:33 AM PDT by webschooner (Welcome to the wonderful world of Socialism -- kindly check your money and possessions at the door.)
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To: markomalley

I absolutely agree, Iran is crossing its legs like a three year that has to pee just trying to hold off on annihilating Israel in the hopes they can get Obama in the Whitehouse.

Iran depends on high oil prices to fund its genocide war efforts, these falling oil prices may actually force Iran to take action ahead of time which is good, I would rather my enemy attacked out of the blue than to sit across the street building up more offensive powers on a daily basis.


11 posted on 10/22/2008 9:14:25 AM PDT by Daniel Ramsey (Live from Wasilla, Alaska and saying NO to Barack HUSSEIN Obama)
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To: markomalley

Crude oil is at $68.11 ppb at 12:08 pm EDT...*was* down to $67.50 per barrel earlier today.


12 posted on 10/22/2008 9:15:50 AM PDT by DGHoodini (Nor shall my sword sleep in my hand)
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To: markomalley
It would be nice if Mr. Litle actually knew his history:

Venezuela is not the long term member of OPEC, they are the ORIGINAL OPEC nation. A Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Alfonso Perez, found OPEC with the Saudi’s and modeled it on the old Texas Railroad Commission (the TRC actually monitored and controlled Texas oil production back when the Houston price was the world price).

Read Adam Smith's great book ‘Paper Money’ to see how OPEC came into being.

In 1987, oil fell as low as $7 per barrel. Anyone who thinks that OPEC will get it's act together now is kidding themselves. The Saudi’s are going to use this market to teach their brethren a lesson about allowing price increases that encourage substitute energy approaches.

The Iraqi's are going to increase production.

Don't be surprised if the US announces it will REDUCE its purchases of Venezuelan crude. Venezuelan crude is best suited for our refineries, it will not be easy for them to sell elsewhere.

13 posted on 10/22/2008 9:16:31 AM PDT by LRoggy (Peter's Son's Business)
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To: ncfool

“Putin and Chavez can stir up turmoil on the cheap.”

Maybe Joe Biden is right on Obama being tested in his first six months like JFK. Russian missles in Venezula?


14 posted on 10/22/2008 9:29:09 AM PDT by dblshot
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To: LRoggy
I don't think the underlying threat is OPEC reducing output.

Remember the cornered animal example in this article.

The real threat is that one only knows that a cornered animal will fight. How he will fight depends on his mental capabilities.

I would more likely expect Russia to do something to upset middle eastern oil production to the point that Russian oil became more valuable.

Say for instance egg Iran into war with Israel, this dragging the entire middle east into the conflagration.

Or doing something to bait Israel into the first strike...who knows?

All we do know is that dictators have used war for centuries to build their power base at home.

15 posted on 10/22/2008 9:29:59 AM PDT by old curmudgeon
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To: markomalley
Do you think that motor mouth dumb sh-t biden might be right about something happening in 6 months.
16 posted on 10/22/2008 9:30:45 AM PDT by G-Man 1
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To: markomalley

Many threads I have said this, but the power is in the hands of those who purchase, not sell the commodity, whether it is Oil or manufactured products from China.

Once purchasers stop purchasing, the sellers will suffer big-time.


17 posted on 10/22/2008 9:32:16 AM PDT by bestintxas (It's great in Texas)
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To: markomalley

Here’s a sample diversion the author is referring to.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2112214/posts


18 posted on 10/22/2008 9:34:02 AM PDT by bestintxas (It's great in Texas)
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To: saganite

Even if OPEC cuts production, I don’t know how this will really put a floor under crude prices.

During the entire runnup of prices over the past few years, the big ‘supply/demand’ explaination was Excess Global Production Capacity. In fact, this excess got down to ~1MM bbls/day at one point. If OPEC now cuts production, it does not reduce Excess Global Production Capacity. In fact as demand continues to drop and new production comes online, this number will continue to increase.


19 posted on 10/22/2008 9:35:54 AM PDT by tatown (RINO's have destroyed the Republican party.)
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To: markomalley

“Plunging Crude Oil is a geopolitical time bomb”

There’s just no pleasing some people.


20 posted on 10/22/2008 9:39:51 AM PDT by mlo
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