You need a different hobby pal
I think we’re seeing the Powell bounce here. Biden’s messups haven’t been figured into the equation yet.
Good for America = bad for Democrats
Bad for America = good for Democrats
Comports with Zogby showing a recent trend towards Hussein. This might be a Powell hit. Hopefully, it subsides.
Remember he has a 6 point Dem oversampling, which really should be about 3-4. This race is probably still 3-4% nationally. 48-45, or so.
Must be the Powell endorsement. There is certainly cause for worry.
I’ve gotten to the point where I simply don’t believe these external polls anymore. I think that, overall, the liberals want to portray “The One” with a solid lead, to discourage us, conservatives. We must stand strong! We can win this! By the grace and power of God Almighty, we are gonna win this!!!!!!!
McCain-Palin’08!!!!!
Stupid, lazy, greedy electorate ...
Obviously, not what we would prefer to see.
However, I am confident that by later next week, most polls will be showing a much tighter race.
Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process.
The SECRET SAUCE!!!
Thanks for making my day.
OMG! I CANNOT TAKE THIS!!!
McCain had a bad polling day with Rasumessen on Monday. Yesterday’s sample seems to be better for him. For some reason in the Ras poll, Monday’s are not kind to Republicans. In Gallup and Zogby it’s Sunday’s that usually hurt.
I don’t know about you guys, but I am ready for the October Surprise to hit.
Definitely, McCain is no better off than 10 days ago, and perhaps worse.
The only poll which shows him close is a Battleground poll, which is all over the place this year.
Other trackers:
Gallup Trad O +7 (Expanded +10)
Zogby O +10
IBD/TIPP O +6
Hotline O +6
Battleground O +1
ABC O +9
“Rasmussen Reports data indicates that Obama currently has the edge in every state won by John Kerry four years ago. However, of the states won by George Bush, McCain is trailing in four and five others are considered a toss-up. As a result, Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 286-174. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House.”
Don’t be fooled by polls that pretend to show a landslide brewing. THIS RACE IS VERY CLOSE. As both Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity said yesterday, the race is razor thin close. Get out and vote. The polling is really poor this year because all pollsters, including Rasmussen are predicting a tremendous democratic turnout. They have totally underestimated the strong Republican turnout occurring. I live in Hillsboro, Oregon, and there are McCain/Palin yard signs all over the place.
I’m feeling pretty good about a McCain-Palin victory.
Heard McCain interview this morning. He said that in 2004 it was Kerry +13 over Bush at this point in one of the polls. This is a close race, and daily roller coaster angst just isn’t worth it.
State polls are all that matter now. Don’t let national numbers worry you.
Remember the Electoral College.
In September, the number of Americans who consider themselves to be Republicans increased a percentage point from 33.2% in August to 34.4% in September.
During that same period, the number of Democrats declined slightly from 38.9% to 38.4.%. The remainder, 27.2%, are not affiliated with either major political party.
That gives the Democrats a net advantage of 4.0 percentage points, down from 5.7 percentage points in August.
Look at how he has shifted his sampling with his most recent polling effort:
For polling data released during the week of October 19-25, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 39.7% Democratic, 33.0% Republican, and 27.3% unaffiliated.
A 5.7% Dem advantage in August, a 4.0% Dem advantage in September, and a 6.7% advantage in October... Like I said earlier, he is using his SECRET SAUCE!!