I've tried, really tried, to let the pessimists get me down. But what exactly is it I'm supposed to be truly worried about? (besides a Marxist occupying the Oval Office)
Obama has outspent McCain in an obscene way. Has he put the race away? No. And the media can't get any more in the tank for him. Obama's electoral map keeps getting smaller. And McCain and the RNC, plus some 527s, are just getting fired up. Folks can keep trotting out polls showing unrealistic oversampling of Democrats. If you and others truly believe the Dems will turn out in greater numbers (like 6,7 or 8 points greater) than the Repubs, then definitely believe those polls. But I keep looking back at 2004, where turnout percentage was a 37-37 tie. Even in 2006 the Dems only had a three-point advantage.
Not only do the national polls not make sense from that perspective, they also don't jive with where the candidates are campaigning. If Obama is a half dozen points ahead nationally, why was he going to Wisconsin this week (which mirrors the national average)? Why are McCain/Palin spending so much time in PA and NH, and so much money in MN, when they don't need those states to win?
I admire your optimism, I really do. And you make excellent points. I really, genuinely wish I saw things the way you did, because I’m working on an ulcer worrying about Hussein in the White House. I’m voting McCain/PALIN and keeping my fingers crossed.