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I do not think Colin Powell views race as the determing factor in all of his decisions. I remember his saying at one point that he did not agree with the gays in the military issue as being equivalent to the inclusion of blacks in the military. He said that he viewed race as a "benign characteristic" (his exact words) and not something that would cause the same kind of effect on morale as having militant gays in the military.

I do think that he is an American first. He spent most of his life in the military. He knows that Obama would be a disaster as CIC and that McCain would do a much better job at this critical time in our history. While he may not go so far as to endorse McCain, I just can not see him endorsing Obama, even though Obama would be the first black POTUS. IMO, Powell is smart enough to know that electing someone who is so obviously unprepared to be POTUS could actually be bad for African-Americans. I have also heard that is why John McCain has been so loathe to use the Rev. Wright issue. He is hoping for the endorsement of his good friend Colin Powell. While Powell may "punt" instead, I would not expect him to actually endorse Obama.

Of course there is this. It may not be politically correct but I am going to say it anyway. Under an Obama presidency, lets face it, blacks aren’t going to suffer. White people are. He hates white people, especially white Christains and Republicans. Thats who his targets will be. He is going to take care of the black people.

...and General Powell understands that a weak president is nuked much easier than a strong president. He would feel extremely guilty, should a weak president he endorsed allow the nuking of a city....where a disproportionately large percentage of blacks would suffer. That and the likely scenario last year of McCain seeking General Powell’s advice on the successful implementation of ‘the surge’...against all comers. McCain owes General Powell, and General Powell owes McCain. My best guess is an endorsement of McCain, for obvious reasons.