AP/YAHOO POLL: OBAMA 44, MCCAIN 42 (PDF File at Link)

AP ^ | Staff

[Norman Bates]

New scientific poll?

[icwhatudo]

IBD: Obama up 3
GALLUP: Obama up 2

[B Knotts]

Interesting. Especially after you consider the Bradley effect.

[TitansAFC]

The McCain List.

Someone really needs to post the theme music from Die Hard 3 ("The ants go marching"....or whatever it's actually called). It keeps going through my head as McCain marches closer, and closer.......

[wiseprince]

Ignore the polls

[icwhatudo]

Interview dates: October 3, 2008 – October 13, 2008
Interviews: 1,769 adults; 1,528 registered voters
873 Democrats; 650 Republicans
Sampling margin of error for a 50% statistic with 95%
confidence is: ±2.3 for all adults; ±2.5 for registered voters
±3.3 for Democrats; ±3.8 for Republicans

[5by5]

They over sample democrats 57% to 43% and Obama is only up by 2??!!

This is hugh!

[golfisnr1]

And the PUMA effect.

[SueAngel]

Wonder what it would be if they polled 50/50 Dems and Reps?

[truthandlife]

Remember the polls are for the left to change people’s minds and they are also there to show it close so there is more attention to the race to watch their shows and read their newspapers and for candidates to buy ad time.

Follow the money trail.

[JennysCool]

I posted this on an earlier thread:

The polls -- commissioned, after all, by media outlets -- are designed to extract the most advertising dollars from both campaigns. Presidential elections are the political Super Bowl for the MSM, and political advertising differs from the run-of-the-mill since it has to be paid for in advance. It's cold, hard cash for a media sorely in need of it.

So you bet they'll make it look close until the bitter end, on occasion showing one candidate or the other building a lead so the other candidate increases his advertising buys.

These polls are all about money for the Drive-Bys.

I'd add that as the election grows closer, and the MSM and their hired pollsters decide they've wrung every last dollar out of this thing, the polls will begin to more clearly reflect reality, in order to maintain the polling firms' reputations.

[Norman Bates]

Poll of 873 Democrats; 650 Republicans shows OBAMA 44%, MCCAIN 42%

That means Obama has weak Democrat support. If "undecided" Democrats and independents break in McCain's direction he will win easily.

[sofaman]

I'm not interested in the Bradley effect. I want Obama to lose because of his ideas and what he stands for.

I want his ideas and principles to be rejected by the American people. I don't want him to lose because he's Black.

I want him to lose because he's wrong and dangerous.

[Onelifetogive]

AP/YAHOO Poll of 873 Democrats; 650 Republicans shows OBAMA 44%, MCCAIN 42%...

Notice the HUGE oversample of Dims. I wonder what the results would be if they just sampled 100 likely voters?

[sitetest]

57% - 43% D to R split, and Snob-ama’s only up by TWO??

[impeachedrapist]

873 Democrats; 650 Republicans

I'll say it again. In 2004 turnout was dead even between Dems and Pubbies. So if we added another 223 Republicans to this poll, does anyone think McCain might have a wee bit of a lead? :-)

The Obamessiah is in serious danger of getting blown out in 2 1/2 weeks. No wonder he's getting snippy with blue-collar plumber peasants.

[GoCards]

57 43 is this true?

[chad_in_georgia]

Regarding the Bradley effect: why would voters be afraid to say who they are voting for over the phone? I’m just curious.

[Hessian]

My math shows that if you pro-rate the results to 50/50 you get Obama 39, McCain 48.