[NYC Republican]

The internals are there.... This poll seems to have an equal weighting between R and D, too optimistic, IMO

[Thickman]

The internals are there.... This poll seems to have an equal weighting between R and D, too optimistic, IMO

I'd have to agree. I am expecting a 2 - 3% edge for dummies this election.

[CSI007]

You have got to be one of the most pessimistic people I have ever seen online. I don’t even thing optimistic is in your vocabulary.

[BCrago66]

I can’t find the internals. Where does it say what percentage of the sample is Democrats, what percentage is Republicans, and what percentage is Independents?

[ncalburt]

OH NO !
The poll actually uses the last two Presidential voter turnouts as the away to measure the 2008 polls .
That outrageous!
The Obama media only allows a 6-10 % Obama advantage in all VALID polls !

[tatown]

With a more realistic weighting, would you expect the lead to be something closer to 5% - 6%? Is so, this would basically match other polls out there right now.

[Sam Spade]

Based on my memory, IBD/CSM/TIPP always uses a hard party weight. I always seem to remember that it was 39D, 35R, 26I, but I could be wrong there. No way that it’s less than D+2, however.

They do not push leaners until the end of the election, or when the leaners start pushing themselves.

It is a good poll with a good record and an excellent methodology, imho.