Posted on 10/12/2008 6:37:26 AM PDT by WilliamReading
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. This is the seventeenth straight day that Obama’s support has stayed in the very narrow range from 50% to 52% while McCain has been at 44% of 45% (see trends).
Obama leads by fourteen percentage points among women while McCain leads by two among men. Both men lead by an 86% to 12% margin among members of their own party while Obama holds an eight point advantage among unaffiliated voters (see other recent demographic highlights).
Tracking Poll results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.
Scott Rasmussen provides an overview of the race to date at a time when 55% of voters believe Obama will win the election.
Every Saturday, Rasmussen Reports reviews key polls from the past week to see “What They Told Us.”
New polling released this morning shows Obama holding on to a solid lead in California.
Currently, Obama has the edge in every state won by John Kerry four years ago. However, of the states won by George Bush, McCain is trailing in four and five others are considered a toss-up. As a result, Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 255-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 300-174. A total of 270 Electoral Votes
This thing is way too close for people to give up yet. If the Stock Market has a good winning streak, people will concentrate on Obama and not the bad economy and George W. Bush.
Not if the MSM has anything to do with it.
I see a lot of defeatists posting on Free Republic these days.
If you look at the polls across the board, it is not that obama is gaining but that Mccains numbers are going south, his base is not happy!
“Obama holding on to solid lead in California”
Unbelievable. They polled the socialist blue lagoon to determine Obama was in the lead.
I think that you are wrong. McCain has strong base support, but has lost ground with independents.
Obama now holds an eight point advantage among unaffiliated voters.
Conservatives tend to live in a dream world where everyone else is also a conservative.
I don’t think millions will watch Obama’s half hour on CBS, etc.. They’re sick and tired of political posturing, and that’s all he does, well, and lie like a rug. But Tuesday’s debate is make or break for McCain. Time to get out the long knives.
What is worse than Obama is the American public. He knows he is playing to a bunch of dummies. This guy is FAR WORSE than Klinton and they will pull the lever for him.
Go negative and knock Obama’s false gains from the stock market down, down and further down. It isn’t over but McCain keeps stepping on his own momentum. It really shouldn’t be this hard to beat this Socialist.
Does this “poll” include illegal voters??? Just asking.
Much of the negativity comes from trolls (the lefties) who infiltrate this site to spread it.
Obama is NOT going to win women by 14%. No way in hell. This poll is a lot closer than it appears.
And hopefully that includes a healthy dose of RevWright.
I wish that were true, but if you look at the people posting the defeatism, they are mainly “conservatives” - they mainly supported Duncan Hunter, who got 1 percent of the primary vote.
I would bet that if Mccain would start fighting the good fight conservative style, his numbers would change, my opinion.
Not really, but we do have this unfortunate tendency top assume that people generally have a modicum of intelligence, despite years of sad experience to the contrary. We think that when they see that the Democrats have proposed a Colonel Sanders, that chickens might see that the candidate might not have their best interests at heart. We think that when someone is exposed as a fraud and poseur, that citizens might pause before entrusting the future of their children and grandchildren to such a man. But in truth, the voter, especially the "undecided" or "uncommitted" voter is a dunce or worse.
If he is about even with white women, then he is going to win overall female vote by 15% or so. Nothing impossible about it.
Stock market just posted a -18% week. No wonder McCain is way down. He needs a week or two in which the market does not fall, to get some message in.
The problem is - not only the markets are spooked by the credit conditions (which are indeed spooky, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=.TEDSP:IND), but they are also discounting the Obama presidency, which will be very bad for businesses even after the credit normalizes.
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