Posted on 10/11/2008 1:37:46 PM PDT by Chet 99
There is no mistaking that Sen. Barack Obama, thanks in large part to a faltering economy, has made significant gains in the waning days before November's election. But at least one pollster is adamant that the race is far from over.
"I don't think Obama has closed the deal yet," John Zogby told the Boston Herald. The latest Zogby tracking poll released Thursday showed Mr. Obama with a four-point lead over John McCain. Mr. Obama receives 48 percent of the vote and Mr. McCain receives 44 percent.
The poll points out that Mr. Obama retained his lead over Mr. McCain, but the Democrat "has been unable to break away, outside the margin of error of Zogby polling."
Mr. Zogby compared this election to that of 1980, when Americans did not warm to Ronald Reagan until the days immediately preceding the election.
"The Sunday before the election, the dam burst," Mr. Zogby said, "That's when voters determined they were comfortable with Reagan."
As for now, this election could still "break one way or the other."
Well, that will make a good excuse when his polls turn out to have been way off all along. ;)
If one were cynical, one might think that Zogby was just trying to drum up interest in his polls. Like most information, polls (at their heart) are entertainment. A lopsided victory by one side is not entertaining.
Why does it seem that Obama is running scared?
The “dam burst” occurred, when Carter again went on nationwide TV, and announced that there had been no progress in negotiations with Iran to free the US diplomatic hostages. (He looked real bad too, which probably sealed that deal).
"The Sunday before the election, the dam burst," Mr. Zogby said, "That's when voters determined they were comfortable with Reagan."
My good FRiend 8mmMauser was there when it happened and explains it perfectly:
It was October 18, the day we did the Illinois bus tour from Eureka all the way down to the arch in St.Louis. Struggling against what we thought a massive current, we awoke from our exhaustion the next morning to find our world had changed. We had given no thought about losing, but fought as if our lives depended on it. I can’t speak for others but sure didn’t consider his losing as an option.
8mm
Still reflecting, lots of parallels to this moment in history...
The media hated us and constantly tried to show our rallies as drawing small crowds. One press jerk took to blowing into his mike a duck call as Governor Reagan approached, so it would sound like jeering. I rode once with them on the press plane and it was like being with wild animals, not people. They were different from us humans, a sub creature gaggle all to itself. If I were asked to paint my imagination of how a demon would appear, these would be my models.
In retrospect it looked grim, but our faith was repaid. Perhaps it was Divine Intervention striking us and we had faith that the little wart with ears, Jimmuh, would be stubbed out. Likewise, today, perhaps the unexpected miracle of Sarah Palin will have the same effect against those commie vile slimy Obamunists who threaten our America.
Zogby's right. The fat lady ain't singing.
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