If McCain is really 12 points behind in Pennsylvania why would he campaigning there? It is impossible to turn a 12 points deficit in three weeks before the elections. The reason is that McCain is no where near 12 points behind in Pennsylvania let alone Ohio or Florida.
I am living in the most liberal state in the country and I am not seeing enthusiasm to Obama. I talk to democrats and at least 20% of them are not voting for Obama based on my count. I am finding shocking stuff that are 180 degree opposite to what the polls are telling us. Freepers around the country are reporting similar stuff just from daily observations and interactions which in my view are more accurate than any media poll.
Like I said before, I hope you are right. While I agree that there are a number of dems that won’t be voting for Obama, I don’t know why none of the polls seem to reflect any real lack of support for him... Even McCain’s camp seems like they are playing from behind (spending lots of time in red states like FL, VA, OH, NC while, pulling out of MI, etc...)
I have always been upfront with my position on polls in here. I take NO single poll as gospel but instead I like to look at a basket of polls and monitor the direction in them. The thing that bothers me about these in particular is that Strategic Vision usually errors on the side of repubulicans (ie best case scenerio). In the past they’ve always shown the republican candidate as having some states in play that weren’t really in play at all (PA, MI, CA, etc..). If they are still erring towards repubs, are these polls best case according to them?