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I think McCain has already won.

I disagree - this format has not favored McCain as much as I thought it would - McCain comes across as clunky at times - not as stuttery as Osama, but just not smooth. McCain keeps repeating a few phrases, and like in Palin's debate, it comes across as silly once you use it too much (not just the "my friend" bits either although those sound funny now - if you were playing one of the debate drinking games, you'd be drunk by now).

That said, McCain can still win if he hammers Obama with the economy and with taxes. McCain has got to drive it home that this election is about the economy and about taxes, and if he doesn't, undecideds are going to vote with their wallets and vote based on what they see the markets doing.