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To: Chet 99
The Obama-Biden ticket led by a wider margin, nine percentage points, in a CBS News poll released last Wednesday, before Joe Biden and Sarah Palin faced off in the vice presidential debate.

Kudos to Frank Lunz who said the race would tighten after the VP debate, based on favorable feedback on Palin, and it has. Doubts about Palin have dissipated and we are back on the more favorable ground of comparaing Obama and McCain man to man - who is best to lead? McCain can win that argument. Whether it is enough to win the race is TBD, and McCain is still the underdog, but the signs are encouraging. Bush had polls with his down 4 points in the fall, and still won in 2004.

43 posted on 10/06/2008 4:11:29 PM PDT by WOSG
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To: WOSG

It is vitually impossible to explain this to people who don’t know how to read poll internals and then compare them with actual recent election history (who actually turns out to vote in what percentages), but this race, right now, is much closer than what the polls say. In fact, what this poll tells me that when you don’t play games with the party affiliation, as CBS did, McCain is actually ahead. Let me repeat that: at least in this poll, McCain is actually ahead (by approximately 2 if you assume a 2000 election turnout; by approximately 6 points if you assume a 2004 election turnout, and by approximately 3 points if you assume a 2006 election turnout).


59 posted on 10/06/2008 4:20:01 PM PDT by kesg
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To: WOSG

Luntz is a PhD and knows his stuff. Fred Barnes is a cluless twit RINO who could not find his arse.

If Sarah can pull crowds 2 times larger then the terrorist loving “rock star” then Hussein Obama is in trouble.

If Sarah is pulling much bigger crowds then Obama it is more meaningful than any poll. This is why they feared her.

She brings positive enthusiasm. Positive wins big in elections. As Mike Reagan said - he saw some one come back like his father but she is a woman (I mangled the quote but you get the picture).

Sarah gets us excited and gives us REAL hope.


141 posted on 10/06/2008 6:20:56 PM PDT by Frantzie
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