This poll is a joke.
GOP 30
Dem 39
Ind 25
2004 election
GOP 39
Dem 35
Ind 26
Using this poll’s numbers, Obama leads among Independent voters by about 10% currently. However, if you revert to the 2004 voter self-identifications in VA, you get a slight lead for McCain, even assuming an 10% lead for Obama among independents. The truth is probably that McCain is behind by a couple of points due to an influx of Democrats in VA, but 10 points is insane.
So SurveyUSA has climbed into the Rasmussen “weighting” wagon. Sigh. And I considered them one of the more reliable pollsters out there.
Plug in those numbers or even plug in an even amount of D’s and R’s on election day and it’s a R win. Polls are the new MSM, we don’t have people to mock, just numbers.