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Worst-case scenario is approaching rapidly (crisis growing at Warp 9)
Times of London ^ | 10/06/08 | David Wighton

Posted on 10/06/2008 7:02:37 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

October 6, 2008

Worst-case scenario is approaching rapidly

David Wighton, Business and City Editor

The credit crisis, which has been building slowly for the past year, is now moving so fast that governments around the world are finding it impossible to keep pace.

On Saturday Angela Merkel, the German leader, criticised last week’s decision by the Irish to guarantee all deposits in their leading banks without consulting other European countries. The Irish Government said that the move was forced on it by the threat of a run on one of its banks. Only a day later Ms Merkel was forced to take almost the same action in almost the same circumstances.

In the longer term, this clearly raises questions about the hopes for (or fears of) European financial integration. In the short term, it presents serious challenges for other European governments.

A week ago the British Government was hoping that it had coped with its immediate banking headache after the bailout of Bradford & Bingley. With the proposed rescue takeover of HBOS by Lloyds TSB, this stabilised the two big British banks that looked most vulnerable.

Then came the shock move by the Irish Government to guarantee not only individual savings but also the large deposits held by companies. Downing Street was furious because British banks feared they would see a flight of money towards Irish banks.

Downing Street decided merely to accelerate the planned increase in the ceiling on guaranteed deposits from £35,000 to £50,000, although the decision remains under review.

(Excerpt) Read more at business.timesonline.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bankingsytem; cascadingdefault; creditcrisis
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To: Kackikat
...because of the mark to market accounting rule by SEC the banks were unable to value those MBS’s...

So with mark to market the MBS's had 0 value even though 90% of the loans are being paid and the MBS's are producing cash flow.

161 posted on 10/06/2008 8:36:12 AM PDT by wmfights (Believe - THE GOSPEL - and be saved)
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To: Lazamataz
"In THIS world, AmericanCreditCorp comes and takes Lord Humungous's vehicle cuz he didn't make his payment."

He took his own advice that he gave in the speech to the good guys: "Just walk away!"

162 posted on 10/06/2008 8:38:33 AM PDT by Sam's Army
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To: hunter112

Everybody needs top go shopping. And take an airplane trip somewheres. That’s what we need.


163 posted on 10/06/2008 8:39:14 AM PDT by ichabod1 (You won't know communism is here until it puts a boot in your (fat) derriere.)
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To: ichabod1

Well, I do have tickets for my lady and I to visit friends and family back in the Pacific Northwest this Thanksgiving! I intend to spend the extra money to bring back a suitcase full of great Northwest beers, as well.


164 posted on 10/06/2008 8:52:38 AM PDT by hunter112 (Gov. Palin is ten times the woman Hillary could've hoped to be, if she had stayed a "Goldwater Girl")
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To: spodefly

Dead cat bounce.


165 posted on 10/06/2008 8:52:43 AM PDT by ichabod1 (You won't know communism is here until it puts a boot in your (fat) derriere.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Thnink Russian 1998 economic collapse. Seems the Russians are doing quite well these days. The USA shall also make it through this tough time. Take care of your family and neighbors.


166 posted on 10/06/2008 8:54:38 AM PDT by iThinkBig
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To: wmfights

The MBS’s never had -0- value, only that the way they were accounted for under the Mark to Market rules, they were unable to give a ‘fair market value’ to them. They were undervalued with the old mark to market rules...therefore the banks couldn’t sell them accurately, and were stuck with no capital to loan, when those values caused fear of purchase. In the end, the values will be given closer to their actual bank sell values with new rules...that’s why Bernanke said we would pay a little more than the “firesale” value...as the MBS’s can be valued more accurately, although still far less than actual value on auction.


167 posted on 10/06/2008 9:01:57 AM PDT by Kackikat ( Without National Security all other issues are mute points; chaos ensues.))
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To: ichabod1

I’ll pass on the airplane trip, since many airlines are now sending their maintenace contracts overseas....it’s a idiotic idea no matter how cheap.


168 posted on 10/06/2008 9:03:29 AM PDT by Kackikat ( Without National Security all other issues are mute points; chaos ensues.))
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To: lainie
There ya go. The apocalypse is warded off for now. Now, if the Rams start improving, I’ll get a little worried.

On the other hand, Vanderbilt is still unbeaten.

169 posted on 10/06/2008 9:04:16 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: EternalVigilance

Yuck, is that a nipple? How Gross!!!


170 posted on 10/06/2008 9:09:56 AM PDT by Flathead Catfisherman
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To: Roccus; Lazamataz
Laz is FREE....PING!!!!

Bout time. I was done paying for it.

171 posted on 10/06/2008 9:34:45 AM PDT by don-o (Avoid the rush. Donate to FR today. Do the RIGHT thing.)
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To: RSmithOpt
Looks like investors are dumping stocks to make margin calls on the derivatives now in reverse,

nahh, just dumping stocks to load up on CASH... cause KAISCH IS KING! splitting it up between 3 or 4 banks and then slowly pull out a little cash every day.

Just till February or March.... then just wait and see what the National Socialist Democratic Peoples Party has planned for us.

Cause you just know that they're gonna declare a stock "holiday" for everybody to calm down and NOT BE GREEDY, cause that's not FAIR! They banned short selling, so that means they can ban all selling for "a little while".

Get my drift. That's why everybody is loading up on cash... they see where the democrat b#ttwipes are going with this thing.

If they weren't so stupid it would be laughable, but it's like watching a retarded kid play with a gun... all happy and smiling like it's a toy (Pelosi, Frank, Dodd, Reid) and then pointing the gun at someone and pulling the trigger...

ooooppsss.... we didn't mean that to happen... it's the guns fault. Here let me show you how to fix a gun... Then of couser we let pick up another gun and then they're pulling the trigger, again..

Whomever voted for the democrats is just as stupid and will still blame greedy republicans, conservative Christians, talk radio, bankers ... and lets not forget the JOOOOOSSS... code named "neo-conservatives"..

Oh, that's right my Judaic-Hebraic friends..I hope you gave up all your guns in New York and Cali.... cause guess what..... you're gonna get blamed for this one too. Cause that's what dems do to stay in power.

bunch of tools.... enjoy the food fight coming.

172 posted on 10/06/2008 9:35:37 AM PDT by Dick Vomer (liberals suck....... but it depends on what your definition of the word "suck" is.,)
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To: Aglooka

173 posted on 10/06/2008 9:46:10 AM PDT by Dick Vomer (liberals suck....... but it depends on what your definition of the word "suck" is.,)
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To: Lazamataz
Running In Circles With Your Hands In The Air Screaming Like A Little Girl (SCREAMGIRL) is up 4.35 (87.31%).

The good news is that we've got Natural Gas coming out of our ......... ground and selling for beans...

Photobucket

174 posted on 10/06/2008 9:53:39 AM PDT by Dick Vomer (liberals suck....... but it depends on what your definition of the word "suck" is.,)
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To: relee

BRIC investmnets used to be so cool.... The Brazil ETF is EWZ and is less than half of it’s 52 wek high


175 posted on 10/06/2008 10:03:48 AM PDT by dennisw (Never bet on Islam! ::::: Never bet on a false prophet!)
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To: JasonC

“And are concluding that no one still solvant is going to get a dime from it, unless tiny, and that it will not buy all the bad mortgage debt and remove it from the system -— because as written, anyone who takes the Treasury’s dollar is signing away the bank. The treasury secretary can practically say “and oh, we own you”, if they touch a penny. “

So - what you are saying is that we are in the same spot we were prior to the bailout? Only our deficit has now skyrocketed.

sigh.

So - this is why Europe is in a panic? Or would they be in this state regardless?

No wonder the dems were smiling and acting so giddy when this turkey passed.


176 posted on 10/06/2008 11:07:26 AM PDT by Scotswife
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To: Lazamataz


Laz's Back!
177 posted on 10/06/2008 11:22:33 AM PDT by Hegemony Cricket (Who are you going to believe, the trusted MSM polls or your lying eyes? ~ Mr. Lucky)
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To: Hegemony Cricket
DJIA 9613.49 -711.89 (-6.89%)
178 posted on 10/06/2008 11:40:40 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: sanchmo
Looked like I picked the wrong month to stop shooting up heroin.

HEROIN (HRN) 56.23 (-68.11%)

179 posted on 10/06/2008 11:43:23 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Secondhand Aztlan Smoke causes drug addiction obesity in global warming cancer immigrant terrorists.)
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To: Lazamataz

Somewhere Democrats are happy...


180 posted on 10/06/2008 11:45:09 AM PDT by paul544 (3D-Joy OH Boy!!!)
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