Five point deficit in manipulated poll is not “getting ugly”. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
Kerry takes lead in new opinion poll
Washington
October 8, 2004 - 5:29PM
Democrat John Kerry has taken a slight lead over US President George W Bush, according to a new opinion poll. The survey by the Associated Press found that Kerry had gained ground with women, boosting his overall popularity and cutting into the president’s advantage on national security.
The two candidates remain in a very close race ahead of a second debate tomorrow in St. Louis.
Among 944 likely voters, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards led Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney, 50 per cent to 46 per cent, in the poll conducted for the AP by Ipsos-Public Affairs.
The October 4-6 survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The race was tied at 47 per cent among the 1,273 registered voters in the poll, similar to others showing a tight race.
Thanks for that cheery note! I mean it.
You are so correct about looking at history on these polls.
Once this bail out bill passes and the so called crisis is over the campaign will take a whole different approach.
He can’t be partisan today or he’ll be blamed for the defeat of the bailout bill. He can’t afford that.
2004, you had a sitting president in a time of war. If Kerry didn't reassure everyone that he would keep them safe, Bush would get the benefit of the doubt. Likewise, the evangelicals overwhelmingly supported Bush on the ground---a difference that in OH gave him the election.
McCain has floundered on every issue except oil---but that issue is fading. McCain's silly unwillingness to actually FIGHT has "Bush-ized" him. All he can do is sit an take it.
In the 85 polls from september to election day in 2004, Kerry only lead in 7 of them.
That is called a trend, the trend this year couldn’t be anymore different.