Well, it’s pretty cool to see that after all of McCains ‘slippage’ he’s still up a point in critical Ohio. Last night’s Rasmussen/Fox poll also gave McCain a 1 point lead in the Buckeye State. Florida also still leans towards McCain.
One can’t help but wonder if the national polls are wrong? Where is Obama’s ‘surge’ coming from?
Consider that all the polls of late have shown McCain doing really well in the South, etc. He’s enjoying runaway leads in Kentucky, Louisiana and Tennessee - all states twice won by Bill Clinton.
I think that polls are cutting Mac short - anyone else agree?
From here out these polls will be crap. Pay attention to how the campaigns are acting. Period.
I hope McCain prevails in November.
My parents are registered Independents and they have always liked McCain.
Last night, I asked my mother what she thought of Obama and she said they love Obama and it sounded like they were going to vote for him. She also said they totally dislike Sarah. I was surprised that they would not be voting for McCain but it seemed to me it had to do with his choice of a VP candidate.
Under normal circumstances, in a 50-50 election (with even national polls), you'd expect McCain to win Florida and Ohio by a couple points or even more. That's because Obama likely would run pretty weakly in rural Ohio, compared to Kerry.
If Obama is ahead nationally by 3-4 points, then Ohio would be close to a dead heat, which this poll indicates. Rising tide lifts all boats. I don't think there's a contradiction between the national polls and this one. If anything, I take solace in McCain still being up in Ohio, but he's going to have to gain ground nationally to take those other key states like New Mexico, Colorado, and Iowa.
“I think that polls are cutting Mac short - anyone else agree?”
i think it is a distinct possibility. These pollsters all manipulate their data.
Lies, damn lies and statistics.
They have to legitimize Obama winning when he pulls out a victory through cheating.
I do not know at this point. There are polls and left wing spin out there trying to shape an election. But the vast majority of Americans were against this bailout, so you’d think that in reality they’d be more fed up the democrats and obama. They were behind this bill, the gop helped to kill it. Yet the media is spinning it like the gop house members are evil. And the national polls show a surge for obama. so God only knows what the reality of the situation is. One thing I’m certain of. We need conservative turnout in Ohio to be more intense than 2004. In 2004 Rove and the get out the vote effort found every vote possible in Ohio. I don’t sense that same intensity by team McCain. And with one month plus to go, they’d better start to get their act together of we’re screwed.