Battleground is saying that 18-44 year olds are only 30% of the electorate when we know that cannot possibly be true?”
How do we know that?
Not sure I want to expose BG as flawed here...not sure if I can take it, since that is the hope that we are clinging to!
http://www.tarrance.com/files/9.25-Public-tables.pdf
Of 1009 respondents, only 291 were under the age of 44. 710 were 45+. That’s ridiculous. People are obsessing about Ras’ party weighting of 5.5, while completely ignoring this, which is absurd on its face. The under 30 vote alone is almost 20% of the electorate.
Look, I take no joy in this, but Battleground has a well-known Pubbie bias of about 4 points, which is why some of the polling websites don’t even include them in their composites.