This scenario, if it does not factor in those constraints, is wholly unrealistic.
Where do they factor in the thousands of UAVs that we’ll have by then?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MQ-9_Reaper
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_Polecat
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_X-45
Another title-does-not-match article!
The article says that an all out aerial attack by china with 72 fighters could be repelled with only 6 F22s?
That sounds like what Pappy Boyington would call a big win!
They did. See the complete slide show briefing here.
The point of the exercise was not to show that the US is inferior, but that it needs more secure bases in the area to operate from. This is just an ongoing consequence of being kicked out of Clark.
What? You don’t find a scenario where the opposition has a 12:1 advantage realistic?? :-p
Consider this, the former Soviet Republics in Europe will likely seek EU membership. And of course, being part of the EU, are obligated to defend member states. That is why Georgia sought EU membership. And the world supports the continued independence of the former Soviet Republics, especially the ones in Europe or adjacent to.
The world, on the other hand (including the US), does not recognize Taiwan and supports reunification. The only point of contention is that it must be done peacefully. And there are signs that it is already happening. The most obvious, is economic integration. But also, the current election of a president in Taiwan that is not as confrontational with Beijing as the previous one is a sign of things to come.
One has to also consider, that 1/4 of the 20 million people living in Taiwan are just as passionate about reunification as the other 3/4 are about independence (and it may actually be more balanced than what I am proposing).
In Georgia, there was none of the support I had mentioned above for Taiwan....and as the ol saying goes, the rest is history.