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The American Debate: No lie: Obama needs senior citizens' vote
Inquirer National ^ | Sep. 28, 2008 | Dick Polman

Posted on 09/28/2008 9:29:54 AM PDT by seastay

Barack Obama should be thankful that the Wall Street crisis is dominating the news these days, because otherwise more people might notice that he has been uttering manifest falsehoods about John McCain's Social Security plan - in a bid to woo the potentially pivotal senior voters who remain cool to Obama's historic candidacy.

While on the stump in Florida last weekend, Obama contended that McCain's talk of Social Security privatization could leave seniors destitute: "If my opponent had his way, the millions of Floridians who rely on it would've had their Social Security tied up in the stock market this week. Millions would have watched as the market tumbled and their nest egg disappeared before their eyes."

Obama lied. No such nest eggs would have disappeared, because the McCain plan exempts every American born before 1950. I could also detail the Obama TV ad on Social Security that has been aired in Florida, Pennsylvania and five other states - it falsely claims that McCain favors "cutting benefits in half" - but here's the point:

The Obama camp has apparently decided that the candidate needs to scare senior Americans into voting for him, because he doesn't appear to be connecting with enough of them any other way. Voters 65 and older are less charmed by Obama than any other age bracket; their resistance - particularly in battleground states such as Florida (the grayest state), Pennsylvania (second grayest), and Ohio (eighth) - is a potentially serious drag on his November prospects.

The latest nonpartisan Pew Research Center poll shows plus-65 voters favoring McCain over Obama by five points; the higher the age bracket, the lower the percentage share for Obama. It's worth noting that, on Election Day four years ago, plus-65 voters favored President Bush over John Kerry by five points. It's also worth noting that Al Gore in 2000 and Bill Clinton in 1996 defeated their respective opponents in the national popular vote in part because they won the senior vote.

Obama fans might say, So what? We're going to reshape the electorate by turning out young people in unprecedented numbers. What we lose in the top age bracket, we'll make up at the lowest.

I'll believe it when I see it, and here's why: Federal census figures show that 69 percent of all eligible seniors turned out to vote in 2004; only 42 percent of eligible 18- to 24-year-olds bothered to show up. It strains credulity to assume that a historic flood of young people will significantly narrow a turnout gap that has surfaced in every census table since the 1980 election.

So attention must be paid to the seniors. While stipulating, of course, that seniors are not monolithic. The small-town, blue-collar Pennsylvania senior is not to be confused with the tennis-playing Florida aficionado of the early-bird special. Millions of older voters remain wary of Obama for reasons that may be tough for him to dispel in a mere 36 days.

Some of the danger signs appeared during the Democratic primaries, when seniors consistently favored Hillary Rodham Clinton by landslide percentages (Obama's deficit in Pennsylvania's primary was 26 points). They did so not just because they viewed Obama as insufficiently experienced, or too "exotic" for their traditional tastes, but because his constant heralding of a "new" movement tended to make a lot of them feel old - and left out.

As one 68-year-old told his Florida newspaper this summer, "When you keep talking about tomorrow, people who are older start feeling like yesterday."

Obama's "change" mantra has been another impediment. Seniors - unlike young people, with their limited time horizons - don't necessarily see "change" as intrinsically good. They've lived through good changes, and bad changes, and promised good changes that turned out to be bad changes. A recent Pew poll reports that only 53 percent of seniors find Obama inspiring - again, the lowest score of any age bracket.

And seniors today may be more conservative in temperament than in the recent past. It's a matter of demographics. When Bill Clinton won in 1992 (and captured the senior vote), the typical 70-year-old was someone who grew up during the FDR New Deal era and developed Democratic voting habits. The current 70-year-old grew up during the Eisenhower era as a member of the so-called Silent Generation - just like John McCain. Many of these seniors today can relate to McCain as one of their own; unlike Obama, who, fairly or not, is still widely viewed as a kid who cut to the front of the line.

Hence the attention Obama is now paying to seniors. He needs them to nail down Pennsylvania (a state that should be his anyway), and, above all, he needs them to snatch Florida away from McCain.

If he can do the latter, it's hard to see how McCain can win this election. But Florida polls, as elsewhere, still show Obama trailing among seniors, which perhaps explains his factually challenged flailings - such as the claim that McCain wants to slash Social Security benefits "in half," whereas, in reality, the number of current seniors affected by McCain's plan add up to zero. And there's no evidence that McCain is talking about future 50 percent cuts for anyone.

Obama has come this far by marketing hope, yet his current pitch to seniors is based on fear. It's stark evidence that he has yet to close the sale with a crucial slice of the electorate - and that he is willing to dissemble rather than inspire, if that's what it takes.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; mccain; obama; seniorsvote

1 posted on 09/28/2008 9:29:55 AM PDT by seastay
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To: seastay
The American Debate: No lie: Obama needs senior citizens' vote

Yes Obama needs senior citizens vote and he is going to get it.

2 posted on 09/28/2008 9:31:35 AM PDT by Anticommie
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To: Anticommie

Bite your tongue.

I’m a senior, and most of my senior friends are voting McCain, they tell me.


3 posted on 09/28/2008 9:33:18 AM PDT by i_dont_chat (The elephant is dancing for the lady from Alaska)
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To: Anticommie

You Think??? Not according to any old folk I know


4 posted on 09/28/2008 9:33:43 AM PDT by BornToBeAmerican (“Barack Obama needs to grow up.")
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To: seastay

I am 68 and I will not vote for him!

I am afraid that too many senior Citizens only care
about what can government do for ME, Me, mE, me!

Social Security was the first step to the desolation
of the family which led to “let the government take
care of my parents” instead of adult children doing
it.


5 posted on 09/28/2008 9:41:40 AM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran (Obama and ITS thugs are made paranoid by Sarahnoia. (stole from molly_jack2007))
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To: seastay; All

One measure that would help senior citizen middle income taxpayers would be to allow a $10,000 exemption on the Tax Form 1040 for Interest Income, and another $10,000 exemption for Dividend Income. This would encourage savings, and investment in more stable segments of the stock market. The dems might even go for this even if they don’t favor reducing the capital gains tax. Also reducing the short term capital gains tax encourages more jumping around in the market which in light of current events is beginning to look questionable.

Another measure that would favor senior citizens would be to change the one-time death benefit of $255 which hasn’t changed since, I think, 1957. I just spent 20 minutes on Google trying to verify the date, but couldn’t find it. At any rate it was a long time ago, and I think the purpose was to provide for a basic funeral, and or basic needs of the family for a few months. This amount was not indexed and needs to be updated to serve those purposes today as well as indexed for inflation.

A third measure that would help seniors would be to change the deduction categories to include disabilities for conditions other than blindness. One who is blind is often less dependent that one who has Alzheimers, or is in a wheelchair. Expanding this deduction would help a lot of senior citizens. As one who has just finished a three year spell of caring for someone with Alzheimers 24/7/365, he would have been a lot easier to care for than if he had been blind.


6 posted on 09/28/2008 10:00:09 AM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: HuntsvilleTxVeteran; All

Not every person has adult children to care for them, as a significant number of homeless people can testify.


7 posted on 09/28/2008 10:01:34 AM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: seastay
Any senior with working brain cells is going to vote McCain.

The voter fraud is already being noted in several areas. Yeehah! It's going to be a dirty-dirty race.


8 posted on 09/28/2008 10:04:41 AM PDT by Daffynition (Follow the dots: Davis, Ayers, Dohrn, Malley, SorosÂ… use a RED crayon.)
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To: gleeaikin
That is true and instead of a government “one size
fits all”, charity should be at the local level.

Bring back the local poor farms.

9 posted on 09/28/2008 10:07:07 AM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran (Obama and ITS thugs are made paranoid by Sarahnoia. (stole from molly_jack2007))
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To: gleeaikin
Another measure that would favor senior citizens would be to change the one-time death benefit of $255...

Why should the Social Security department be in charge of burying people? If you can't figure out how to save enough for a nice simple cremation, there are schlocky insurance companies willing to sell you a policy. Just check your junk mail.

You're right about the blind being some sort of sacred exemption. We just ought to eliminate it, with the ADA, they've been put on a more equal footing since that exemption was crafted.

10 posted on 09/28/2008 10:22:25 AM PDT by hunter112 (Gov. Palin is ten times the woman Hillary could've hoped to be, if she had stayed a "Goldwater Girl")
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To: BornToBeAmerican
You Think??? Not according to any old folk I know

You just don't know enough old folks newbee.

11 posted on 09/28/2008 10:52:51 AM PDT by Anticommie
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To: Daffynition

There...fixed it :)!
12 posted on 09/28/2008 12:11:06 PM PDT by An American! (Proud To Be An American!)
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To: i_dont_chat
I am a Senior too, McCain is going to squander my social security, just like he wants to waste 600 bils of taxpayers money to bail out rich crocks.

All of your friends must be rich and have their stash in gold.

13 posted on 09/28/2008 12:46:16 PM PDT by Anticommie
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To: An American!

Thank you!

I’m sure she’s a sweet little lady but she’s just a prop. The Leftists will stop at nothing. I predict plenty of ugly before November.


14 posted on 09/28/2008 1:35:59 PM PDT by Daffynition (Follow the dots: Davis, Ayers, Dohrn, Malley, SorosÂ… use a RED crayon.)
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