[CSI007]

The problem I have with this argument is the MSM and all of their polls do this year after year to the GOP but there is something different this year. Obama is actually ahead in most polls now and the statewide polls that really could have McCain down too. Looking over the 2004 polls around this time all had Bush up even among registered voters by a good margin. Some similar to what we are seeing now with Obama being up.

I don’t like McCain, but I would rather see him in office now than Obama (who scares the crap out of me).

[fluffdaddy]

I think what is different this year is that nobody knows how to poll a presidential contest with a black nominee. Republican leaning pollsters are being conservative about black turnout and the rest are being aggressive, which lands them in the same unrealistic place. When the exit polls are finally in we will see that the electorate is a bit more Dem than it was in 2004, a bit more Republican than it was in 2006 and close to the demographic averages of the last three Presidential years. Underneath the horserace numbers all the polls agree that in that scenario, Obama gets crushed.