[TonyInOhio]

Over here, poll junkies. The current polls are significantly oversampling Democrats, despite ample historical precedent for doing otherwise.

[KeatsforFirstDog]

oh oh oh....can you add me to your poll junkies pinging? pretty please?? I love analyzing internals of polls...

and yes, I realize that’s a little odd

[LS]

I learned something last night at a dinner that I probably should have known: Ken Blackwell going into the election was down by 5% to 12%. He lost by 25%. This is clearly the “Wilder Effect.”

[Wilder Effect]

Thanks Tony LOL. In 2006, the GOP faced their worst year since Watergate, and in the end the DEMS only got a 3% advantage after pollsters said it was going to be 10 to 15%. The reason we lost only 30 House seats instead of the 70 Stuart Rothenberg and Sabato were predicting.

ABC/WAPO 10% DEM
RAS 6% DEM etc...

The reason McCain leads Battleground is that they use the correct sample, 3% DEM. THIS IS ALL A SCAM TO DEFLATE CONSERVATIVES

[RightWingMama]

Thanks for posting. Eases my troubled mind a bit.