IIRC — 2004 — Day before, Kerry by 4-6, the day of Kerry by 4, exit polls never lie, they said Kerry by 4.
Bush won by 3.5%.
Swing was out of the range of margin, polls ceased to be useful after 2000 they just manipulate news cycles.
But now, we have the ‘widler effect’ how do you poll for that?
Chuck Todd is a hack. He was telling the MSNBCer’s not to panic over those polls after the Republican convention, also saying he didn’t believe it and to wait for their own polls.
That doesn’t sound like a non partisan political director...