Weekend poll data. A major hurricane affecting millions of primarily red states. Last time we had this scenario, Obama got up 4-5 points.
The Obama campaign defeated the inevitable Hillary. It should be no surprise that they are finding ways to fight. They aren’t going to surrender.
They are migrating their message from McCain/Bush to “it’s the economy, stupid.” McCain’s team needs to respond vigorously to defend the lead. Wall Street events are going to be part of this. A very effective attack on this front is the news from yesterday that Obama was the 2nd largest recipient of Fannie and Freddie donations.
Debates have essentially never been proven to move polls so don’t be looking for them to save the day. To get a lead and win in November will require some moderating in Wall Street events, strong campaigning and in the end, perhaps money exhaustion in the Obama campaign.
I don't buy into the "weekend poll" argument, but the hurricane in Texas and especially yesterday's financial news is probably giving Obama a slight temporary boost. And this is just registered voters, which in Gallup polls tend to be about 4 points more favorable to the Democrats than a likely voter sample (according to Gallup itself).