McCain/Palin 2008 Leading in the Electoral College

Karl Rove ^ | 091508 | Karl Rove

[Fred]

SNAP!!

[kinsman redeemer]

Virginia will be for McCain!

[Wilder Effect]

Wow. Karl has been a McCain pessimist for a long time. Good News.

[wk4bush2004]

We’ve still got WA, MN, WI, MI, PA, NJ and NY in play. Hopefully we can win most, if not all of them!

[KansasGirl]

VA, OH, and NV only get McCain to 268.

What other state is he going to pick up?

[comebacknewt]

I like our chances in Ohio, Nevada and Virginia (despite doay's poll).

Colorado is the big remaining question mark. if McCain can move it over to his column, Obambi's chances of victory get very remote.

[Feline_AIDS]

You bet it will! VA for McCain!

[comebacknewt]

Va, Oh, Nv and Co get us to 274 — our most realistic winning scenario.

[rhinohunter]

Anybody know what's wrong with Iowa? There's no way it should be polling that far left. It should be a battleground state polling very near the national average.

Any Iowans want to chime in?

[cvq3842]

All in all, we’re in very good shape. But we have to keep working, hard! Thanks for posting.

[counterpunch]

Karl who?

[PeterFinn]

I’ll predict that ALL of the remaining swing states will go to McCain.

[TheWasteLand]

CO. Also, I think there’s a good chance at MI, PA and MN. If it turns into a route, and it may, there are a large number of wobbly blue states that could turn.

[mnehring]

We still have a lot of work to do. If you look at the toss-up states and simply throw them in the column they lean- then McCain ends up with 263 and Obama 273.

We will need to flip one of those toss-ups or another State in the O column.

[Brookhaven]

McCain wants to end corn-ethanol subsidies.

Iowa is voting their pocketbook over country.

[CatOwner]

Whoever wins Co wins the election. Yes, I understand there are other combinations, but winning CO gives the best odds. It is because of this that I give Obama a slight advantage right now. It is really asking a lot for McCain to pull any other state this likely doing Democrat (PA, MI, WI, WA, NM).

[TexasNative2000]

VA, OH, and NV only get McCain to 268.

CO and/or NH.

Less likely, however, I also think he picks off PA and/or MI.

[perez24]

Iowa is becoming a huge welfare state. Decent benefits, cheap housing, plenty of meth.

[Wilder Effect]

First of all, Iowa voted for Dukakis in 1988, Clinton twice and Gore in 2000. It was never a Red state.

There was this pessimism in 2004 also, with various polls showing Kerry ahead in CO and NV.

RAS had McCain ahead 49 to 44 in New Mexico as it borders Arizona.

McCain will win CO, NM, and NV along with either Penn or Mich due to the Bradley Effect.

[Restore]

Va, Oh, Nv and Co get us to 274 — our most realistic winning scenario.

Yep, Colorado is going to be the key.

Also, I think there’s a good chance at MI, PA and MN.

If Michigan and or Pennsylvania fall to McCain I'll immediately be popping the cork on election night. If Rove is right, and those two stay at only 2% for Obama, there is a real possibility of a McCain win on those two. Obama needs to poll at about 3% or greater to be competitive.