[CapnJack]

They oversample Dems by 11% because that is probably the way the registration of voters breaks down. I don't think that the 11% oversampling of Dems it too far out of line.

Oregon is NOT going to vote for McCain, so I don't think we need to get excited about McCain's chances there.

Reps need to guard against overconfidence in this race. The Palin phenomenon will fade when the the end of month is here and the “debates” start. Then it will be issues that will matter to people.

[KayEyeDoubleDee]

If Oregon went GOP, then Obambi would be looking at a McGovern/Mondale kind of shellacking.

For the time being, I'm not seeing that happening.