Replies

Not sure how objective the site it.

1 posted on 09/12/2008 4:13:08 PM PDT by Mike Fieschko

To: Mike Fieschko

2 posted on 09/12/2008 4:16:46 PM PDT by optiguy (Government does not solve problems; it subsidizes them.----- Ronald Reagan)

To: Mike Fieschko

Fox is reporting it’s almost a Cat3........could be worse than expected.......

3 posted on 09/12/2008 4:17:57 PM PDT by tioga (Obama -- I'll make government "COOL")

To: Mike Fieschko

7 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:38 PM PDT by donna (Tearing kids away from their homes & families for day care is somewhere between sinister and cruel.)

To: Mike Fieschko

Thanks for that link. Very extensive...bump

From The Oil Drum:

“The refineries remain a significant concern. I’m less concerned about wind, unless we get unlucky and something breaks that shouldn’t. The big question now is down to flooding, and the main facility I am worried about is the Texas City complex. If the storm tracks to the NE of the bay, and winds blow offshore, it may avoid flooding. But a leftward wobble could inundate this complex, and take out over 1 MMBBL/day capacity for several months. The big Exxon-Mobil Baytown complex is a bit better protected - the storm will have to take a significant leftward jog to flood it. It looks like Port Arthur area is in for big flooding if the current trends continue, but the refineries are further inland, and if the storm starts moving faster there may not be enough time for the surge to build inland.”

30 Day Outage Probabilities (Refinery Capacity): 1 MMBBL: 70%, 3 MMBBL: 30%, 5 MMBBL: 10% (perspective 5MMBBL is 30% of US refining) at least...

8 posted on 09/12/2008 8:51:25 PM PDT by profgoose (Oil/Infrastructure Damage Models don't look so good right now...)

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